While observing that most campaign gaffes and errors don’t matter, Sabato’s Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics saw an exception in Kansas’ GOP primary for U.S. Senate, where tea partier Milton Wolf is challenging three-term Sen. Pat Roberts. The incumbent “played right into Wolf’s hands when he admitted that he didn’t have a home in Kansas. This set off alarm bells with observers because residency issues likely played a big role in Sen. Richard Lugar’s (R-IN) primary loss in 2012,” the website wrote. “But then Wolf’s problems overshadowed Roberts: The insurgent, a physician, had posted morbid photos of X-rays on Facebook and made snarky remarks about them. Ultimately, the latter matters more: Wolf’s only chance to win was to run a flawless race against Roberts, and the X-ray disaster zaps any problems Roberts might have.” Still, Wolf showed unexpected strength with his first-quarter fundraising: more than $318,000, all but $5,050 of it from individual donors. Roberts raised more than $534,000 during the same period, including nearly $260,000 from political action committees (he had $2 million on hand).
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