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Open thread 7/11
- By Phillip Brownlee
- Posted July 11, 2008 at 6:04 a.m.
- Filed under Open thread
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209 Comments
Bush wants us to pay for Fannie Mae’s bad loans. Talk about Bush being a closet socialist…nevermind, he’s always been up front about it.
I used last Saturday’s Eagle newspaper to temporarily wrap some tomatoes from my back yard garden. As I unwrapped the tomatoes early this morning, I happened to notice an article quoting Big bucks, Warren Buffet, and his equally rich side kick, Bill Gates.
My eyes were drawn to Warren Buffet’s comments about our dangerous current economy. According to the McClatchy author, Mr. Buffet warns, “The U.S. is mixed in ’staglation,’ a period of slowing economic growth and accelerating inflation.”
“We’re right in the middle of it,” Buffet said. “I think the “flation’ part will heat up and I think the ’stag’ part will get worse.”
“An economic recovery isn’t ‘going to be tomorrow, it’s not going to be next month, and may not even be next year,” Buffet said.
Now I guess we could go even higher for economic predictions … directly to the top … to Art Bell and his brilliant co-host science observors on their middle of the night COAST TO COAST radio show.
I’m told by an avid Coast listener that “Coast” radio personalities have issued even more dire predictions.
Unfortunately Coast to Coast begins around midnight and ends as the early morning sunlight begins streaking across the eastern sky. Its difficult to absorb that much brillance in those wee night time hours.
So I have to begin the day with predictions by the brilliant Wichita blogger, HLP, on “open thread.” Thanks Hank.
Good morning JWink!
It took me a little longer than usual for my morning chores. Thanks for filling in!
I read that article before I wrapped tomatoes the other day, I don’t trust Mr. Buffet or Gates.
Gates and es wife are going through a period of liberal ‘rich guilt’ and although they are doing some good works I’m not sure they are very smart when it comes to the ills of the country.
Buffet is a lot easier to figure out. He’s building windmills.
Malthus is still wrong
The price of staples like corn, wheat, and rice are escalating, indicating that demand is outstripping supplies. Why? Because of political and economic institutional failures, not overpopulation. First, let’s deal with the claim that human population, like the populations of all other animals, expands as food supplies increase. On a global level that certainly looks plausible. As the amount of food increased over the last century, world population rose from 1.5 billion in 1900 to 6.6 billion today. Case closed?
Not so fast. Consider that countries with the highest food security are also the same countries with below replacement total fertility rates. If the availability of food was the chief determinant of birth rates, then one would expect Iowa farmers would spawn more kids than any group on the planet. Instead, it is countries in which food insecurity is greatest that have the highest total fertility rates. As an empirical fact, as people become wealthier and better fed, they tend to bear fewer children. Well-fed human beings can evidently override the genetic programming that drives other animals to turn more food into more offspring.
How much food is there right now? Enough to feed 10 billion vegetarians. One oft-heard argument is that increased Chinese prosperity is driving up meat consumption, which is diverting grain into livestock production. It takes about eight pounds of grain to produce one pound of beef, and 2.5 pounds of grain to produce a pound of chicken. It is true that Chinese meat consumption is soaring, but China has produced nearly all of the extra grain it needs to grow its burgeoning numbers of livestock. In fact, China remains a net exporter of grains. Chinese corn yields an average of 82 bushels per acre compared 150 bushels per acre in the United States. In other words, Chinese yields could nearly double using already existing technologies. In addition, crop biotech leader Monsanto predicts that corn yields will double to 300 bushels per acre by 2030.
So what is driving up global food prices? Joachim von Braun, Director General of the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), points to high oil prices which have “made agricultural production more expensive by raising the cost of mechanical cultivation, inputs like fertilizers and pesticides, and transportation of inputs and outputs.”
In addition, biofuel mandates in the United States and Europe are diverting food into fuel and boosting the price of feedstock crops like corn. So, on the demand side, higher corn prices cause food consumers to shift to rice and wheat. On the supply side, higher corn prices cause farmers to reduce rice and wheat production in favor of corn. These shifts in demand and supply have tended to boost the price of rice and wheat and other crops. IFPRI estimates that increased biofuel demand accounts for 30 percent of the increase in weighted average grain prices.
In response to higher food prices, several major food-producing countries have instituted export bans on various agricultural commodities. Export controls shrink the size of the market and reduce domestic prices to farmers. Of course, reduced prices signal farmers to produce less. For example, China has banned rice and maize exports, and India has banned exports of rice and pulses. Argentina has raised export taxes on soybeans, maize, wheat, and beef, and Ethiopia and Tanzania have banned exports of major cereals. In addition, Benin, China, Malaysia, and Senegal have imposed price controls on some staples. Price controls are especially damaging because they strongly discourage farmers from increasing their production. IFPRI estimates that “the elimination of export bans will stabilize grain price fluctuations, reduce price levels by as much as 30 percent, and enhance the efficiency of agricultural production.” Clearly eliminating subsidies for biofuel production in developed countries and export controls in developing countries would go a long way towards easing the world food crisis.
A longer-term problem is that decades of rising food security have led to cutbacks in both public and private agricultural research focused on boosting yields. Since 1980, rich donor countries have cut their support for agricultural research and development for poor countries from $6 billion to $2.8 billion. Other bad policies have contributed substantially to the current food crisis. For example, most governments in sub-Saharan Africa have underinvested in farm-to-market roads and in agricultural research, while also imposing high import taxes on fertilizer and modern high-yielding seed, price controls, and bans on genetically enhanced crops. Making the heroic assumption that if sub-Saharan governments “fulfill their commitments,” IFPRI estimates that spending an additional $14 billion per year could boost African agricultural production by 7.5 percent annually through 2015.
Finally, the world food crisis could have the highly beneficial effect of jumpstarting the Doha round of World Trade Organization negotiations. High food prices could serve as the impetus for eliminating damaging food market distortions such as rich country farm subsidies and poor country protective tariffs.
The current world food crisis is not the long predicted signal of Malthusian overpopulation. Instead, it is the result of political Malthusianism, that is, a series of government policy failures that are preventing farmers from growing the food demanded by the world’s hungry billions.
http://www.reason.com/news/show/127428.html
Study links global warming to more smog
Excerpt: U.S. environmental regulators quietly published a draft study on Thursday that linked global warming to higher levels of smog that could harm human health, a report green groups said stood in contrast to the Bush Administration’s slow movement on climate change.
http://uk.mobile.reuters.com/mobile/m/AnyArticle/p.rdt?URL=http://uk.reuters.com/article/environmentNews/idUKN1041605320080710
Study links global warming to less smog
Excerpt: Goodbye air pollution and smoky chimneys, hello brighter days. That’s been the trend in Europe for the past three decades – but unfortunately cleaning up the skies has allowed more of the sun’s rays to pierce the atmosphere, contributing to at least half the warming that has occurred.
http://environment.newscientist.com/channel/earth/mg19926634.800-cleaner-skies-explain-surprise-rate-of-warming.html?feedId=online-news_rss20
Which is it? Global warming caused by more smog or by less smog?
Don’t laugh. It’s easy: To a Greenie, EVERYTHING is bad and causes global warming!
The price of staples like corn, wheat, and rice are escalating, indicating that demand is outstripping supplies. Why? — hlp
Perhaps the devaluation of the dollar has contributed. Price American wheat in Euros before Bush became president, and afterwards. You’ll see that grain prices are increasing everywhere but are increasing much more in the u.s. Wheat is a world commodity.
Good educational tool on population,
snip
http://www.overpopulation.org/
The Helpful Work of the Guttmacher Institute . April 28, 2008 Letter from Guttmacher Institute
The work of the Guttmacher Institute has helped to bring about:
*New state policies that expand access to reproductive health services for low-income women through Medicaid
*Increased funding for the federal Title X family planning program, which expands acces to services for undeserved populations
*Refusals by a growing number of states – red and blue alike – to accept federal funding for abstinence-only education
*The suspension of the harmful “abstinence-only” budget earmark from the U.S. global AIDs effort,
*Laws in the Philippines and Uganda tha increase access to modern contraceptive methods and emergency postabortion care. 023073
http://www.nationalgeographic.com/eye/overpopulation/overpopulation.html
Another great research tool on overpopulation and the human effect on the planet.
snip
Although people no longer talk about a catastrophic “population bomb,” world population continues to grow. Unfortunately, the most affected countries are also the ones least able to support more people.
The fact that the observed and predicted patterns of warming don’t match indicates that the man-made greenhouse contribution to current temperature change is insignificant. This fact emerges from data and graphs collected in the Climate Change Science Program Re-port 1.1, published by the federal government in April 2006 (see http://www.climatescience.gov/Library/sap/sap1-1/finalreport/default.htm). It is remarkable and puzzling that few have noticed this disparity between observed and predicted patterns of warming and drawn the obvious scientific conclusion.
What explains why greenhouse computer models predict temperature trends that are so much larger than those observed? The answer lies in the proper evaluation of feedback within the models. Remember that in addition to carbon dioxide, the real atmosphere con-tains water vapor, the most powerful greenhouse gas. Every one of the climate models calculates a significant positive feedback from water vapor—i.e., a feedback that amplifies the warming effect of the CO2 increase by an average factor of two or three. But it is quite possible that the water vapor feedback is negative rather than positive and thereby re-duces the effect of increased CO2.
There are several ways this might occur. For example, when increased CO2 produces a warming of the ocean, a higher rate of evaporation might lead to more humidity and cloudi-ness (provided the atmosphere contains a sufficient number of cloud condensation nuclei). These low clouds reflect incoming solar radiation back into space and thereby cool the earth. Climate researchers have discovered other possible feedbacks and are busy evaluat-ing which ones enhance and which diminish the effect of increasing CO2.
http://www.hillsdale.edu/news/imprimis/archive/issue.asp?year=2007&month=08
Hank Price,
1) What percentage of an adult human is a tiny bit of deadly Ebola virus?
2) Are you going to send lots of money to John Casey?
‘Space and Science Research Center – Issuepedia’
http://issuepedia.org/index.php?title=Space_and_Science_Research_Center&printable=yes
http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=S._Fred_Singer
1) What percentage of an adult human is a tiny bit of deadly Ebola virus?
—–
For nearly all Humans, 0%.
So we’ve all seen that John McCain’s top financial advisor, former Sen. Phil Gramm, said:
“We have sort of become a nation of whiners,” he said. “You just hear this constant whining, complaining about a loss of competitiveness, America in decline” despite a major export boom that is the primary reason that growth continues in the economy, he said.
“We’ve never been more dominant; we’ve never had more natural advantages than we have today,” he said. “We have benefited greatly” from the globalization of the economy in the last 30 years. …
“Misery sells newspapers,” Mr. Gramm said. “Thank God the economy is not as bad as you read in the newspaper every day.”
It was a big, slow, juicy watermelon-sized fastball, and Obama smashed it out of the park.
We don’t need another Dr. Phil! We need solutions! It’s not just a figment of your imagination. It’s not all in your head. When people are struggling to buy gas and groceries….When people are losing their homes…It’s not a figment of your imagination. And it’s not too much to ask for the government to step in and give you some relief. It’s time to have a president who doesn’t deny our problems or pretend they don’t exist. It’s time we had a president who takes responsibility.
Good one on the “Dr. Phil” line.
So the McCain camp reacted the way it always does — a bit addled and confused. First, they agreed with Gramm.
In an initial statement published by Politico and then, seemingly, removed from its site, a McCain campaign aide actually stood by Gramm’s remarks, saying the interview as a whole was merely meant as a preview of the Senator’s economic agenda.
“Mr. Gramm was simply saying that we are laying out the economic plan this week,” the piece quoted a “McCain official” as saying. “The plan is comprehensive, providing immediate near-term relief for Americans hurting today as well as longer-term solutions to get our economy back on track, secure our energy future and deliver jobs, prosperity and opportunity for the next generation. We’re laying out that plan this week with an emphasis on the critical importance of job creation, and it’s been a great success so far.”
Then they realized that, oops, this wasn’t looking so good. So then they decided to excommunicate Gramm (who will apparently be no longer be considered for Treasury). And not only did McCain attack his own top adviser for the comments, but is emailing reporters a YouTube clip of his stern response.
Poor Gramm. His good friend McCain has turned on him, and for saying the very same things that McCain himself had said!
On January 2008:
As far as putting additional money in taxpayers pocket, that’s fine, because a lot of it is psychological. Because I agree the fundamentals of our economy is still strong.”
Back in April 2008:
I’m very concerned about it, Neil. And obviously the way it’s been going up is just terrible. But I think psychologically — and a lot of our problems today, as you know, are psychological — the confidence, trust, the uncertainty about our economic future, ability to keep our own home. This might give them a little psychological boost. Let’s have some straight talk, it’s not a huge amount of money.
Or June 2008:
So I don’t see an immediate relief, but I do see that exploitation of existing reserves that may exist — and in view of many experts that do exist off our coasts — is also a way that we need to provide relief. Even though it may take some years, the fact that we are exploiting those reserves would have psychological impact that I think is beneficial.
At one of the Republican debates:
On the issues of rebates, fine, part of this is psychological. Part of the problem we have of course in any recession is psychological.
Heck, he’s said it again and again!
When you use that word this much, it’s not a gaffe.
It’s a talking point.
All Phil Gramm did wrong was follow the lead set by John Sidney McCain the Third (for Shrub’s 3rd term).
Gasoline doesn’t cost $4-a-gallon.
It’s all in your head.
Multi-nic’d ‘Regular’ posted,
“Prove that there is a global co2 level that is well-mixed from all sources of co2 of the planet. Prove it.”
CO2 measured at Barrow, Mauna Loa, Samoa, and the South Pole. Except for different seasonal variations, the trends are very similar.
http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/insitu.html
“co2 from Russia is not going to float down to some mountain top testing location in North Carolina.”
Prove it. Track all CO2 molecules over Russia today, until they are taken out of the atmosphere, perhaps a century from now.
“There is no median temperature as there is no such thing as a constant thermostat. Temperature ebbs and flows just as the oscillations of the North Atlantic and El Nino oscillate from year to year.”
Natural oscillations cause short-term temperature fluctuations. AGW causes long-term warming.
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/2007/Fig1_2007annual.gif
“All natural climate variation.”
Since thunderstorm lightning caused forest fires before humans were on Earth, humans cannot cause forest fires.
“They’ll tell you to disregard the past millions of years, where there has been much warmer and much colder temperatures. Remember the ice ages? How about all those tropical climates that existed on U.S. soil where huge dinosaurs roamed?”
Read ‘Chapter 6 Palaeoclimate’ at,
http://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/ar4-wg1.htm
Good morning cosmos!
“1) What percentage of an adult human is a tiny bit of deadly Ebola virus?”
That’s it? That’s all you got? Pathetic!
It is a completely irrelevant question to the AGW hoax. It’s even an irrelevant question to anybody suffering from the Ebola virus.
“2) Are you going to send lots of money to John Casey?”
No.
Are you going to buy carbon credits from Al Gore?
Cosmos: Ebola virus in a body is really a very poor analogy to CO2 in the atmosphere. It sounds dramatic but it doesn’t fit. I have seen it used on other blogs and thought, jeez, how stupid.
Ebola virus doesn’t occur naturally in the human body. CO2 occurs naturally in the atmosphere.
Any Ebola virus in the body is a bad thing. CO2 in the atmosphere is necessary for plants to survive and thus essential to life on this planet.
So allow me to help you out. How about comparing CO2 in the atmosphere to the levels of electrolytes in the human body? Although they make up a small portion of the body, too high or too low of a concentration of the proper electrolytes is bad for the human body and causes it not to function properly. Your alleged point is that although it is a small part of the atmosphere, too much CO2 in the atmosphere can cause big effects. I think that this is a much better way to illustrate your point. Which BTW, is really questionable at this point.
Glad I could help.
Here is the text of Newsweek’s 1975 story on the trend toward global cooling. It may look foolish today, but in fact world temperatures had been falling since about 1940. It was around 1979 that they reversed direction and resumed the general rise that had begun in the 1880s, bringing us today back to around 1940 levels. A PDF of the original is available here. A fine short history of warming and cooling scares has recently been produced.
To scientists, these seemingly disparate incidents represent the advance signs of fundamental changes in the world’s weather. The central fact is that after three quarters of a century of extraordinarily mild conditions, the earth’s climate seems to be cooling down. Meteorologists disagree about the cause and extent of the cooling trend, as well as over its specific impact on local weather conditions. But they are almost unanimous in the view that the trend will reduce agricultural productivity for the rest of the century. If the climatic change is as profound as some of the pessimists fear, the resulting famines could be catastrophic. “A major climatic change would force economic and social adjustments on a worldwide scale,” warns a recent report by the National Academy of Sciences, “because the global patterns of food production and population that have evolved are implicitly dependent on the climate of the present century.”
A survey completed last year by Dr. Murray Mitchell of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration reveals a drop of half a degree in average ground temperatures in the Northern Hemisphere between 1945 and 1968. According to George Kukla of Columbia University, satellite photos indicated a sudden, large increase in Northern Hemisphere snow cover in the winter of 1971-72. And a study released last month by two NOAA scientists notes that the amount of sunshine reaching the ground in the continental U.S. diminished by 1.3% between 1964 and 1972.
http://www.denisdutton.com/cooling_world.htm
HLP posted July 11, 2008 at 7:20 am | Permalink
“Which is it? Global warming caused by more smog or by less smog?
Don’t laugh. It’s easy: To a Greenie, EVERYTHING is bad and causes global warming!”
————–
Poor old Hank. . . he can’t understand the difference between aerosols, and low level ozone.
‘The global cooling mole’ (as in the game, Whack-a-mole)
http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2008/03/the-global-cooling-mole
“During the period we analyzed, climate science was very different from what you see today. There was far less integration among the various sub-disciplines that make up the enterprise. Remote sensing, integrated global data collection and modeling were all in their infancy.
But our analysis nevertheless showed clear trends in the focus and conclusions the researchers were making. Between 1965 and 1979 we found (see table 1 for details):
* 7 articles predicting cooling
* 44 predicting warming
* 20 that were neutral
In other words, during the 1970s, when some would have you believe scientists were predicting a coming ice age, they were doing no such thing. The dominant view, even then, was that increasing levels of greenhouse gases were likely to dominate any changes we might see in climate on human time scales.”
I think Graham must have divulged some of the private economy talk that was supposed to be left in the Straight Talk express. So McCain was forced to throw him under the bus.
Guess I might as well join ‘em (can’t beat ‘em!).
‘Alarming’ plight of coral reefs
A third of the world’s reef-building coral species are facing extinction.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/7498502.stm
I’m taking my stack of newspapers to the collection point in the nearby Dillons parking lot this morning on my way out. I know it can’t hurt to do my part, and it doesn’t matter to me whether the climate is or isn’t changing, how fast, or whether it can or can’t be affected by what I do.
Canadian Scientists Fear Global Cooling
By Nathan Burchfiel (Bio | Archive)
February 8, 2008 – 16:33 ET
Investor’s Business Daily is reporting something we haven’t seen much of in the media since the 1970s: concerns about global cooling. You read that correctly: cooling.
Kenneth Tapping, a researcher at Canada’s National Research Council, wants to look for evidence of increased sunspot activity, according to IBD. “The lack of increased activity could signal the beginning of what is known as a Maunder Minimum, an event which occurs every couple of centuries and can last as long as a century.”
A “solar hibernation” in the 17th Century “corresponded with a period of bitter cold that began around 1650 and lasted, with intermittent spikes of warming, until 1715,” IBD reported. “Frigid winters and cold summers during that period led to massive crop failures, famine and death in Northern Europe.”
Tapping’s concerns fly in the face of the current media drumbeat about global warming, which would have Americans believe the Earth is on course for catastrophic climate changes unless the federal government (i.e. taxpayers) steps in to save the day.
The media have warned of impending climate changes for at least the last century. Most recently, global warming has been the, er, hot topic. But in the 1970s it was global cooling.
Could Tapping’s concerns be the turning point in the media’s environmentalist crusade? It’s more likely the media will simply ignore – or maybe even viciously attack him – as a global warming “denier” or equally loaded buzz word commonly used to attack or discredit scientists and others who don’t buy into the global warming catastrophe hype.
http://newsbusters.org/blogs/nathan-burchfiel/2008/02/08/canadian-scientists-fear-global-cooling
outlander.
Hank incorrectly believes that CO2 in Earth’s atmosphere is insignificant because it is a small percentage.
The Ebola virus analogy is only that percentage does not equal the amount of effect.
If you want to nitpick about it “doesn’t occur naturally”, then apply the analogy to high GWP gases like SF3 and NF3.
Are you a scientist, cosmo?
Ooops, change SF3 to SF6. (Multi-tasking)
Shocking Scientific Discovery: Plants Love Carbon Dioxide
By Noel Sheppard (Bio | Archive)
July 8, 2008 – 20:01 ET
As media members have advanced global warming hysteria by claiming the naturally occurring gas carbon dioxide is going to destroy the planet, one seemingly obvious scientific constant has eluded them: plants love that which people like Nobel Laureate Al Gore want to eliminate.
Truth be told, without carbon dioxide, we’d all die, a scientific fact that has been inexplicably lost in this so-called debate.
Well, as amazing as it may seem, a group of German scientists have discovered what, with all due modesty, has been inherently obvious to yours truly for years.
Believe it or not, Agence France-Press reported Tuesday that crops love all this extra CO2
Increasing exposure to carbon dioxide appears to boost crop yields, Hans-Joachim Weigel of the Johann Heinrich von Thuenen Institute for rural areas, forestry and fisheries in the central city of Brunswick told AFP.
“Output increased by about 10 percent for barley, beets and wheat” when the plants were subjected to higher levels of carbon dioxide, Weigel said.
Hmmm. So, what happens when you do what Al Gore wants and reduce the amount of CO2 plants are subjected to?
Strangely, global warming obsessed media aren’t interested in that answer.
Why might that be?
http://newsbusters.org/blogs/noel-sheppard/2008/07/08/shocking-scientific-discovery-plants-love-carbon-dioxide
CO2 keeps me warm at night….mmmmmm…zzzzzz…zzzzz.
“Ooops, change SF3 to SF6.”
Got it.
Study of the orbital mechanics of the solar system in the 1970s led Russians to believe the Earth was about to cool and we should prepare quickly because it will be catastrophic. Their arguments were lost in the rush to warming group-think in the 1990s, but the arguments for impending cold are well founded and still believed by many good scientists. As the sun goes even quieter and January, 2008 saw the greatest year to year temperature drop ever (128 years of NASA GISS data) and thru May remains relatively cool, it is clear cooling needs to be considered as a very plausible future. This is highlighted by 2 papers published in March 2008. Scafetta and West showed that up to 69% of observed warming is from the sun and remind us that the sun is projected to cool and Ramanathan and Carmichael show that soot has 60% of the warming power of CO2. Both papers state that these factors are underappreciated by IPCC. Many scientists believe the temperature changes are more dependent on the sun than CO2, similar to the relationship in your home with your furnace. With the Sun’s face nearly quiet, the monthly patterns over the last 12 months are most similar to those of 1797 preceding theDalton Minimum 1798-1823 during the little ice age (Timo Niroma).
The southern hemisphere has been cooling over the last 10 years, just about as much as the north has been warming. There is no proof of warming outside of natural variation. When 3 of the highest 5 or 6 years in the temperature record (since 1890) occurred over 70 years ago and 1900 was warmer than recent years in the USA (where the best data are), we are nowhere near statistical proof, nor even evidence of warming. Modelers are still unable to include important variables and no one is able to predict the future. At least Hadley Centre have tried (below). While CO2 continues to rise, the temperature has stabilized at a warm level, but not unusually so. Which way will it go? The world seems to be betting on warming. However, the probability of cooling may be equally valid and we must be prepared for both. Cooling presents the real danger. Things that go up and down only go so high. It has always been this way.
http://www.climatecooling.org/
Dear cosmos,
You have no idea what I ‘believe’.
Let’s keep the questions pertinent to climate, OK?
1. Where does the white go when the snow melts?
2. Where does the green go inn the fall?
3. Are you going to buy carbon credits from big Al?
SolDevVB posted July 11, 2008 at 9:32 am
“Investor’s Business Daily is reporting something. . .”
———————-
SolDevVB, you seem to be very gullible.
‘Don’t trust anything you read in the Investors Business Daily’
http://scienceblogs.com/deltoid/2008/02/dont_trust_anything_you_read_i.php
“Well, as you know, the Investor’s Business Daily has as much as 100 lies on every page so when I read that, I naturally wondered what Tapping really said. Fortunately, tgirsch was on the case, and contacted Tapping to see if the IBD report was accurate. Tapping replied:
Thanks for the message. The stuff on the web came from a casual chat with someone who managed to misunderstand what I said and then put the result on the web, which is probably a big caution for me regarding the future.
It is true that the beginning of the next solar cycle is late, but not so late that we are getting worried, merely curious.
It is the opinion of scientists, including me, that global warming is a major issue, and that it might be too late to do anything about it already. If there is a cooling due to the solar activity cycle laying off for a bit, then the a period of solar cooling could be a much-needed respite giving us more time to attack the problem of greenhouse gases, with the caveat that if we do not, things will be far worse when things turn on again after a few decades. However, once again it is early days and we cannot at the moment conclude there is another minimum started.“
The deniers of science?
The “head in the sand” crowd have lost.
They know it too.
HLP posted July 11, 2008 at 9:46 am
Dear cosmos,
You have no idea what I ‘believe’.
—————-
HLP posted July 10, 2008 at 12:29 pm
Two questions for you my delusional little buddy:
What percentage of the atmosphere is CO2?
What percentage of the CO2 in the atmosphere is as a result of man?
If you can answer those two questions honestly people will realize what an incredible hoax AGW is!
—————-
bth posted July 10, 2008 at 1:01 pm | Permalink
“What percentage of the atmosphere is CO2?
What percentage of the CO2 in the atmosphere is as a result of man?”
Just under 400ppm of which a bit over 1/4 is anthropogenic.
—————-
Global Cooling?
by Dennis Avery
The official thermometers at the U.S. National Climate Data Center show a slight global cooling trend over the last seven years, from 1998 to 2005.
Actually, global warming is likely to continue—but the interruption of the recent strong warming trend sharply undercuts the argument that our global warming is an urgent, man-made emergency. The seven-year decline makes our warming look much more like the moderate, erratic warming to be expected when the planet naturally shifts from a Little Ice Age (1300–1850 AD) to a centuries-long warm phase like the Medieval Warming (950–1300 AD) or the Roman Warming (200 BC– 600 AD).
The stutter in the temperature rise should rein in some of the more apoplectic cries of panic over man-made greenhouse emissions. The strong 28-year upward trend of 1970–1998 has apparently ended.
Fred Singer, a well-known skeptic on man-made warming, points out that the latest cooling trend is dictated primarily by a very warm El Nino year in 1998. “When you start your graph with 1998,” he says, “you will necessarily get a cooling trend.”
Bob Carter, a paleoclimatologist from Australia, notes that the earth also had strong global warming between 1918 and 1940. Then there was a long cooling period from 1940 to 1965. He points out that the current warming started 50 years before cars and industries began spewing consequential amounts of CO2. Then the planet cooled for 35 years just after the CO2 levels really began to surge. In fact, says Carter, there doesn’t seem to be much correlation between temperatures and man-made CO2.
For context, Carter offers a quick review of earth’s last 6 million years. The planet began that period with 3 million years in which the climate was several degrees warmer than today. Then came 3 million years in which the planet was basically cooling, accompanied by an increase in the magnitude and regularity of the earth’s 1500-year Dansgaard-Oeschger climate cycles.
Speaking of the 1500-year climate cycles, grab an Internet peek at the earth’s official temperatures since 1850. They describe a long, gentle S-curve, with the below-mean temperatures of the Little Ice Age gradually giving way to the above-the-mean temperatures we should expect during a Modern Warming.
Carter points out that since the early 1990s, the First World’s media have featured “an increasing stream of alarmist letters and articles on hypothetical, human-caused climate change. Each such alarmist article is larded with words such as ‘if’, ‘might,’ ‘could,’ ‘probably,’ ‘perhaps,’ ‘expected,’ ‘projected’ or ‘modeled’—and many . . . are akin to nonsense.”
Carter also warns that global cooling—not likely for some centuries yet—is likely to be far harsher for humans than the Modern Warming. He says, “our modern societies have developed during the last 10,000 years of benignly warm, interglacial climate. But for more than 90 percent of the last 2 million years, the climate has been colder, and generally much colder, than today. The reality of the climate record is that a sudden natural cooling is more to be feared, and will do infinitely more social and economic damage, than the late 20th century phase of gentle warming.”
Since the earth is always warming or cooling, let’s applaud the Modern Warming, and hope that the next ice age is a long time coming.
http://acuf.org/issues/issue62/060624cul.asp
Cosmo attacks the source. And only one source at that. Then cosmo posts a blog to back up his claim. Atta boy cosmo. Gotta love those peer reviewed blogs.
You GW bloggers really make me laugh —- here you are in the middle of no where kansas — the closest thing you have to a weather station is a wet finger and an old gas station thermomemter and you want everyone to believe you are some sort of experts because you read a book / took a class / clipped an article — get a grip Kansans you have much bigger fish to fry …..
“Bush, who has been criticized for being reluctant to join international efforts to combat global warming, reportedly ended a private meeting with the words: “Goodbye from the world’s biggest polluter.”
The Web sites of the British newspapers The Independent and the Telegraph both reported that he then punched the air while grinning.
British Prime Minister Gordon Brown and French President Nicolas Sarkozy appeared shocked at the comment Bush made before leaving the G-8’s last meeting at the Windsor Hotel in Hokkaido, where the leaders of the world’s richest nations had been discussing new targets for cutting carbon emissions.
One official who witnessed the extraordinary scene told the Telegraph: “Everyone was very surprised that he was making a joke about America’s record on pollution.”
“Are you a scientist, cosmo?”
Irrelevant.
And Sol…
Newsbusters from the Media Research Center.
Please.
The facts of the matter are and remain.
Fact: CO2 is a greenhouse gas.
Hypothesis: Human generated CO2 may cause a change in climate on a global scale. This change would be expected to be an average increase in temperature.
State of the research:
Average temperature is increasing.
CO2 concentrations have been increasing.
Correlation between increases in average temperature and CO2 concentrations has been strong.
Correlations between increaes in average temperature and CO2 concentrations ad and human CO2 generating activity are high.
This is coming from scientists from around the world, who come from various cultural and political traditions.
Meanwhile, those who oppose the idea of human caused global warming tend to come from political traditions or economic perspectives where such opposition is predictable.
Coalition conservative: Opposition comes from the perception that global warming and environmentalism are “liberal causes” and are therefore to be automatically opposed.
Libertarian or other “free market” ecomonic traditions. People like, for example, Sol.
Companies strongly invested in the status quo (including oil companies, some far more than others, such as Exxon Mobile).
Countries that do not want to put themselves at a perceived economic disadvantage. This has been an issue on international cooperation. More to the point (note the recent G-8 non-action), this gives lie to the claim that the “money” is in “promoting” global warming.
However, climate scientists and the strongly supported global warming hypothesis are not dependant upon political viewpoints (despite some of the almost hysteronic claims of some of the right oriented posters here to the contrary). Evidence is evidence.
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/16037209?ordinalpos=1&itool=EntrezSystem2.PEntrez.Pubmed.Pubmed_ResultsPanel.Pubmed_DiscoveryPanel.Pubmed_Discovery_RA&linkpos=5&log$=relatedarticles&logdbfrom=pubmed
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/17370024?ordinalpos=1&itool=EntrezSystem2.PEntrez.Pubmed.Pubmed_ResultsPanel.Pubmed_DiscoveryPanel.Pubmed_Discovery_RR&linkpos=1&log$=relatedreviews&logdbfrom=pubmed
SolDevVB posted,
“Cosmo attacks the source. And only one source at that. Then cosmo posts a blog to back up his claim. Atta boy cosmo. Gotta love those peer reviewed blogs.”
————
Dr. Tapping was the scientist that IBD reported(sic) in SolDevVB’s copy/paste.
Dr. Tapping is NOT a “global warming “denier” ” as SolDevVB’s copy/paste incorrectly implied.
http://blogs.kansas.com/weblog/2008/07/open-thread-711/#comment-381885
And you still only attack one post. Hmm, there are several here cosmo. Ready? GO !!!!
CHURCHVILLE VA—Now it’s not just the sunspots that predict a 23-year global cooling. The new Jason oceanographic satellite shows that 2007 was a “cool” La Nina year—but Jason also says something more important is at work: The much larger and more persistent Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) has turned into its cool phase, telling us to expect moderately lower global temperatures until 2030 or so.
For the past century at least, global temperatures have tended to mirror the 20-to 30-year warmings and coolings of the north-central Pacific Ocean. We don’t know just why, but the pattern of the last century is clear: the earth warmed from about 1915 to1940, while the PDO was also warming (1925 to 46). The earth cooled from 1940 to 1975, while the PDO was cooling (1946 to 1977). The strong global warming from 1976 to 1998 was accompanied by a strong and almost-constant warming of the north-central Pacific. Ancient tree rings in Baja California and Mexico show there have been 11 such PDO shifts since 1650, averaging 23 years on length.
http://www.cgfi.org/2008/05/05/satellite-indicates-23-year-global-cooling/
From the bolded above. Did everyone stop driving cars and burning coal from 1940 to 1975? CO2 production increased while temperatures decreased. Hmmmm
“If you can’t sue the Lord for libel, what are your options? A Michigan man is about to find out. Bradley LaShawn Fowler, 39, has filed lawsuits in a Michigan federal court against Zondervan Publishing and Thomas Nelson Publishing, claiming some editions of the Bibles those companies put out call homosexuality sinful, which has led him to suffer discrimination, emotional pain and mental instability.
“Defendant willfully caused me to endure acts of hate, discrimination, and loss of sleep, appetite, by structuring their New King James Bible to reflect God’s distaste of homosexuals,” Fowler wrote in his complaint against Thomas Nelson filed this week.”
http://newsblogs.chicagotribune.com/religion_theseeker/2008/07/can-you-sue-the.html
I hope God has a good lawyer.
11 bear markets since 1940, two of them under bush 2, so I guess that would be 3 we could attribute to the bushes.
I just LOVE when this happens… It shows how desperate some folks are to make THEIR point, to the extent that they do the Crime of Omission(intentionally) to further their own view points…
“Tapping replied:
Thanks for the message. The stuff on the web came from a casual chat with someone who managed to misunderstand what I said and then put the result on the web, which is probably a big caution for me regarding the future.
It is true that the beginning of the next solar cycle is late, but not so late that we are getting worried, merely curious.
It is the opinion of scientists, including me, that global warming is a major issue, and that it might be too late to do anything about it already. If there is a cooling due to the solar activity cycle laying off for a bit, then the a period of solar cooling could be a much-needed respite giving us more time to attack the problem of greenhouse gases, with the caveat that if we do not, things will be far worse when things turn on again after a few decades. However, once again it is early days and we cannot at the moment conclude there is another minimum started.“
SolDevVB posted July 11, 2008 at 10:15 am
“And you still only attack one post. Hmm, there are several here cosmo. Ready? GO !!!!”
—————-
If you want to prove how very gullible you are by posting Fred Singer, Dennis Avery, Bob Carter, et al, why should I waste my time debunking you?
Knock yourself out!
And enjoy proving that you don’t even understand the basics of climate science.
“Cosmo attacks the source. And only one source at that. Then cosmo posts a blog to back up his claim. Atta boy cosmo. Gotta love those peer reviewed blogs.”
Like the childish corruption of cosmo’s name (c’mon Sol, you seem to be better than that).
Two points:
1) Not all blogs are equal. Some blogs and discussion boards are professional in nature and have higher, much higher, posting standards than this one. For example, there are blogs and boards for professional issues that I subscribe to, and the opinions on some controversial but professionally relevant issues on those forums are, even for opposing opinions, more authoritative than what one would find from some poltical article or editorial, because the people posting these opinions have some professional standing. I don’t pretend to be an expert on the blog cosmos linked to, but the posts I read were exhaustive and substantial.
2) The American Conservative Union is hardly a sceintific source, and there are clear political motives for how they report on scientific matters issues.
cosmo,
Why did temperatures drop from 1940 to 1975 while CO2 emissions rose?
Ready? GO !!
“Just under 400ppm”
Are you sure you don’t mean 398 parts per MILLION?
“And you still only attack one post. Hmm, there are several here cosmo. Ready? GO !!!!”
Anyone can google the internet and find articles that support their viewpoint, or in the case of global warming, are critical. That’s the equivalent of throwing sh*t at the wall and seeing what sticks.
Most of the sources you’ve posted here have clear political motivations which would likly override their ability to look at an issue objectively. That is, their conclusions are pre-determined. Despite what you think, that is not the way the scientists who are researching the issue of global climate and climate change are working. If somene starts with a pre-determined conclusion, that is an immediate indication that his/her argument is suspect.
SolDevVB, I’m busy. Read,
‘Climate MYTHS: The cooling after 1940 shows CO2 does not cause warming’
http://environment.newscientist.com/channel/earth/climate-change/dn11639
Evidence has mounted that global warming began in the last century and that humans may be in part responsible. Both the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and the US National Academy of Sciences concur. Computer models are being used to predict climate change under different scenarios of greenhouse forcing and the Kyoto Protocol advocates active measures to reduce CO² emissions which contribute to warming.
Thinking is centered around slow changes to our climate and how they will affect humans and the habitability of our planet. Yet this thinking is flawed: It ignores the well-established fact that Earth’s climate has changed rapidly in the past and could change rapidly in the future. The issue centers around the paradox that global warming could instigate a new Little Ice Age in the northern hemisphere.
Evidence for abrupt climate change is readily apparent in ice cores taken from Greenland and Antarctica. One sees clear indications of long-term changes discussed above, with CO² and proxy temperature changes associated with the last ice age and its transition into our present interglacial period of warmth. But, in addition, there is a strong chaotic variation of properties with a quasi-period of around 1500 years. We say chaotic because these millennial shifts look like anything but regular oscillations. Rather, they look like rapid, decade-long transitions between cold and warm climates followed by long interludes in one of the two states.
http://www.whoi.edu/page.do?pid=12455&tid=282&cid=10046
“It is the opinion of scientists, including me, that global warming is a major issue, and that it might be too late to do anything about it already.”
Chas when you see something that starts with a lie you would do well to discount it. This was just a blogger like you and we know that doesn’t make his statement true.
There is no consensus in the scientific community. There are detractors and believers. If you believe as this person does that it is too late to do anything about it why waste time worrying.
‘be happy, don’t worry’
Ocala, FL (PRWEB) July 8, 2008 – New findings released in the peer reviewed book “Global Warming — Global Cooling, Natural Cause Found”, meteorologist and climate researcher David Dilley utilizes nearly a half million years of data linking long term gravitational cycles of the moon as the cause for the present global warming, rises in carbon dioxide levels, and for 2200 global warming cycles during the past half million years.
http://www.emediawire.com/releases/2008/7/prweb1081014.htm
Sol, books are generally NOT peer reviewed (except in some academically affiliated publishers). Those are usually studies in referred journals. And the source (making the claim that the book is peer reviewed), once again, is suspect (they have an inherently political bias for posting what they do).
okobserver posted July 11, 2008 at 10:53 am
Chas when you see something that starts with a lie you would do well to discount it. This was just a blogger like you and we know that doesn’t make his statement true.”
————–
No. . . that was a quote of an email from Canada scientist Dr. Kenneth Tapping
‘Scientist Busts Biz Sheet for Misrepresenting His Work’
http://www.desmogblog.com/scientist-bust-biz-sheet-for-misrepresenting-his-work
See also link at above page,
http://www.leanleft.com/archives/2008/02/09/6488/
Agnatha,
IIRC, the book written by meteorologist David Dilley was “peer-reviewed” by a couple of other meteorologists — not climate scientists.
Man can impact the planet here is visual evidence.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tnUjTHB1lvM
Ah, another day, another AGW debate.
Cosmos,
How many climate scientists does it take to screw in a light bulb?
And did they really screw it in if it was no peer reviewed and published?
cosmos_originally
Posted July 11, 2008 at 11:19 am | Permalink
okobserver posted July 11, 2008 at 10:53 am
Chas when you see something that starts with a lie you would do well to discount it. This was just a blogger like you and we know that doesn’t make his statement true.”
————–
No. . . that was a quote of an email from Canada scientist Dr. Kenneth Tapping
‘Scientist Busts Biz Sheet for Misrepresenting His Work’
http://www.desmogblog.com/scientist-bust-biz-sheet-for-misrepresenting-his-work
See also link at above page,
http://www.leanleft.com/archives/2008/02/09/6488/
——————-
As I said Cosmos if it starts with a false statement it is all suspect.
So all in favor of continuing to send 700 billion dollars annually overseas to buy energy and opposed to developing clean renewable solar and wind energy – please raise your hands.
I gotta ask. “What the hell is the point in arguing this global warming/cooling junk, EVERYDAY OF THE WEEK, EVERY WEEK OF THE YEAR?” Are you just doing your part in ignoring issues that are important today? How about Israeli jets in Iraq? Forget global warming/cooling, how about global war??
Since this thread is already ruined, here’s my $0.02 worth:
“The proposal that the EPA will unveil today, known as an advance notice of proposed rulemaking, stands in stark contrast to the agency’s original Dec. 5 finding — backed up by a lengthy scientific analysis — that global warming is unequivocal, that there is “compelling and robust” evidence that the emissions endanger public welfare and that the EPA administrator is “required by law” to act to protect Americans from future harm.”
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/07/10/AR2008071003087.html?hpid=topnews
“global warming is unequivocal”
That comes from our own EPA.
I expect the usual snide remarks from HLP and his band of deniers.
Nano are you telling me that the EPA, the protector of the snail darter and the spotted owl has made a statement that might be contorversial?
Imagine that!!
Nathaniel,
How many lies from the agricultural economist Dennis Avery does it take to con someone as gullible as you?
“I will clean up the planet,” McCain said. “I will make global warming a priority.”
Speaking outside the statehouse, McCain was cheered by a group of sign-wielding environmentalists. McCain cheered them back: “Way to go, global warming folks!” A hoarse-sounding McCain told the crowd: “I want to assure you I will make this planet clean … we will hand to you a cleaner planet than the one you were living in before I became president of the United States, I promise you that.”
http://www.boston.com/news/politics/politicalintelligence/2008/01/mccain_vows_to.html
(BUSH)… Acknowledging that his refusal to ratify the Kyoto Protocol once created consternation in Europe, he said that there was now a recognition that that richer countries needed to “transfer out of the hydrocarbon economy”
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/us_and_americas/article4107327.ece#cid=OTC-RSS&attr=2015164
‘Climate MYTHS: The cooling after 1940 shows CO2 does not cause warming’
___________________________________________________
It’s interesting that some AGW advocates use aerosol masking to explain the relatively cool 60’s and 70’s, when cycle 20 is so handy.
http://solarscience.auditblogs.com/2008/04/22/ken-tapping-the-current-solar-minimum/
_______________________________________________
But then again, that would point to the obvious natural cycle and blows the AGW alarmists all to hell.
OKOB WHINES >>>>
“Chas when you see something that starts with a lie you would do well to discount it. This was just a blogger like you and we know that doesn’t make his statement true.”
Kenneth Tapping, a solar researcher and project director for Canada’s National Research Council.
Ummm OKOB… I think you are once again not reading with any kind of comprehension, and yet attacking ME once again, with no grounds to do so… As you can see, Kenneth Tapping is certainly no ordinary “blogger” like either one of us…
And, as you can see…. IF you have your reading glasses on… Neither is Tim Lambert.
“Tim Lambert (deltoidblog AT gmail.com) is a computer scientist at the University of New South Wales.”
If you dont think I already read who these people are BEFORE I posted the quote above… then you really ARE nuts!!
Have a nice day, OKOB… $^%&*
okobserver posted July 11, 2008 at 11:34 am
“As I said Cosmos if it starts with a false statement it is all suspect.”
—————-
Prove that Dr. Tapping made a “false statement”.
The fact that the observed and predicted patterns of warming don’t match indicates that the man-made greenhouse contribution to current temperature change is insignificant. — Sol V
Wrong: It means man’s contribution to global warming is unknown, even if you assertion is true, which is dubious
What you people don’t seem to understand is that natural climatic cycles will continue to operate. If global warming caused by man is actually a factor, then the warm periods will be warmer, and the cool periods shouldn’t be as cool.
Sol says >>>>
“SolDevVB
Posted July 11, 2008 at 11:44 am | Permalink
‘Climate MYTHS: The cooling after 1940 shows CO2 does not cause warming’”
Sol, I think I said yesterday, I am not nearly as convinced as some about the effects of CO2….
I see you made a comment eariler about going for Wind and Solar alternatives!! Hoooray!!! Yipppeeee!!!
Now… I wonder if YOU will be as severely castigated for advocating Wind and Solar as I was not too long ago… hmmm???
Watch out Sol — Your post at 11:44 a.m. used a link to something written by Dr. Kenneth Tapping…. OKOB will git ya for doing that!! She/he thinks Tapping is just a blogger like US… LOL
New Peer-Reviewed Study Shows Arctic COOLING Over last 1500 years
(Study published in Climate Dynamics, and the work was conducted by Håkan Grudd of Stockholm University’s Department of Physical Geography and Quaternary Geology – Published online: 30 January 2008)
Excerpt: “The late-twentieth century is not exceptionally warm in the new Torneträsk record: On decadal-to-century timescales, periods around AD 750, 1000, 1400, and 1750 were all equally warm, or warmer. The warmest summers in this new reconstruction occur in a 200-year period centred on AD 1000. A ‘Medieval Warm Period’ is supported by other paleoclimate evidence from northern Fennoscandia, although the new tree-ring evidence from Tornetraäsk suggests that this period was much warmer than previously recognised.” “The new Torneträsk summer temperature reconstruction shows a trend of -0.3°C over the last 1,500 years.” Paper available here: & Full Paper (pdf) available here: (LINK)
http://epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Minority.Blogs&ContentRecord_id=5ceaedb7-802a-23ad-4bfe-9e32747616f9
SolDevVB posted July 11, 2008 at 11:44 am
“Climate MYTHS: The cooling after 1940 shows CO2 does not cause warming’
___________________________________________________
It’s interesting that some AGW advocates use aerosol masking to explain the relatively cool 60’s and 70’s, when cycle 20 is so handy.
But then again, that would point to the obvious natural cycle and blows the AGW alarmists all to hell.”
—————–
SolDevVB,
How did “cycle 20″ cause cooling in the 1940’s and 1950’s?
And “cycle 20″ alone does not explain the observed temperatures.
‘Climate myths: The cooling after 1940 shows CO2 does not cause warming’
http://environment.newscientist.com/channel/earth/climate-change/dn11639
“The mid-century cooling appears to have been largely due to a high concentration of sulphate aerosols in the atmosphere, emitted by industrial activities and volcanic eruptions.
…
Climate models that take into account only natural factors, such as solar activity and volcanic eruptions, do not reproduce 20th century temperatures very well. If, however, the models include human emissions, including greenhouse gases and aerosols, they accurately reproduce the 1940 to 1970 dip in temperatures.”
Report: Too Much Ice = Polar Bears Starving? (Scientist Philip Stott’s Global Warming Politics – February 15, 2008)
Excerpt: Apparently, according to a report, Svend Erik Hendriksen, a certified weather observer in the Kangerlussuaq Greenland MET Office, who is responsible for all the weather observations at Kangerlussuaq Airport (near to Sisimiut), says that the cause is too much sea ice: “Several polar bears located (at least 6) close to Sisimiut town on the West coast …Too much sea ice, so they are very hungry…Error number 36 in the movie An Inconvenient Truth Al Gore says the polar bear need more ice to survive… Now we have a lot of ice, but the polar bear is starving and find their food at the garbage dumps in towns. It’s also influence the local community, polar bear alerts, keep kids away from the schools and so on…. The first one was shot at February 1st.” Sadly, that “first one” is the poor female hung out in the newspaper photograp.
http://epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Minority.Blogs&ContentRecord_id=5ceaedb7-802a-23ad-4bfe-9e32747616f9
Report: Solar Activity Diminishes; Researchers Predict Another Ice Age – Sunspots have all but vanished in recent years. (Daily Tech – February 9, 2008)
Excerpt: In 2005, Russian astronomer Khabibullo Abdusamatov predicted the sun would soon peak, triggering a rapid decline in world temperatures. Only last month, the view was echoed by Dr. Oleg Sorokhtin, a fellow of the Russian Academy of Natural Sciences. who advised the world to “stock up on fur coats.” Sorokhtin, who calls man’s contribution to climate change “a drop in the bucket,” predicts the solar minimum to occur by the year 2040, with icy weather lasting till 2100 or beyond. Observational data seems to support the claims — or doesn’t contradict it, at least. […] Researcher Dr. Timothy Patterson, director of the Geoscience Center at Carleton University, shares the concern. Patterson is finding “excellent correlations” between solar fluctuations, a relationship that historically, he says doesn’t exist between CO2 and past climate changes.
http://epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Minority.Blogs&ContentRecord_id=5ceaedb7-802a-23ad-4bfe-9e32747616f9
Greenland climate not varying from ‘natural climate variability’ (Greenie Watch – Dec. 2007)
Excerpt: RECENT PAPER ON THE HISTORY OF GREENLAND ICE MASS Showing that, although the Greenland melt has increased during the 1992-2006 period, the melt was even higher in 1900s, 1930s, 1940s, 1950s and 1960s. So there is no indication that the current melt is above natural climate variability. Of course people who look just on the 1990 to 2007 period “see” great melting acceleration and influence of carbon dioxide and anthropogenic climate change.
http://epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Minority.Blogs&ContentRecord_id=5ceaedb7-802a-23ad-4bfe-9e32747616f9
okobserver
Posted July 11, 2008 at 11:40 am | Permalink
Nano are you telling me that the EPA, the protector of the snail darter and the spotted owl has made a statement that might be contorversial?
_________________________________________________
Of course you’re correct. You and your deluded kind go ahead and destroy the environment. Your grandchildren and great-grandchildren don’t need clean air or water and they’ll greatly appreciate what you’ve done.
Carry on.
Of course, this is the only time earth that there has been climate change.
Except for large parts of the world carved out by glaciers.
Or perhaps, that the arid Southwest United States, once filled with dense, green foliage and swamp was inhabited by plant eating dinosaurs and others of that ilk.
Where do the climate alarmist think coal came from? You know all that decomposed,crushed plant life consisting of tropical ferns, massive amounts of extinct species of plants.
How about, the entire state of Kansas was once under an ocean? Ever been to a limestone quarry and see the tiny creatures embedded in fossilized rock? Do you think the climate was bit different back then?
And, you know that evil oil. What is oil made of?
- tiny plants and animals, called plankton. This plankton would form oil in about 150 million years time if the sea bed is not disturbed. You mean places like Saudi Arabia, Iraq and Iran were underwater (oceans) that were home to trillions and trillions of plankton?
Why are there different climate regions? Arctics, deserts, lush tropical forests, great savannas, etc. Could it be that location on the planet earth, along with with natural geographic formations and cyclical weather events over a long period of time formed these climate regions?
The four seasons. Remember that? Think about that for awhile and how it affects climate.
Of course, the alarmists state the sun has no bearing on modern day climate change. Yet the same people will acknowledge as a fact if there was a nuclear war and the sky was covered with debris and dust there would be a nuclear winter because the sun is blocked out. Makes you go hmmm.
The topper is the alarmist selling point of a world wide average temperature. Say what? Don’t you acknowledge the different climate regions? (arctic, deserts, lush tropical forests, savannas)?
So the temperature in the antarctic has to do exactly what with the temperature of the Gobi desert?
Or how about those nice sunny beaches, where the albedo effect of sand makes for a toasty environment in which to catch some rays? Oceans pulverizing rock and geological formations, washing it up on shore to make sand. Caused by the ebb and flow of tides, wind, gravitational effects of the moon. Remember learning about that in school?
Averaging temperatures around the globe is like averaging numbers in a phone book. It is entirely meaningless as each part of the globe is susceptible to it’s own region’s influence, oscillations, wind and global position in relation to the sun.
The scientist (so-called) claim that man-made global warming is real and indisputable. So, this is why they spend so many resources on studying natural climate events eh? Computer climate models are inaccurate, even the scientists admit this. Yet they use these same computer climate models to predict the future of climate? What the hell?
Sol — Whaddya think?? Could the Gulf Stream be affecting Greenland any?? And could industrialization further south possibly have some bearing on the Gulf Stream’s affects on Greenland?? I dont know… but just thinking about that…
I’ll could do this all freakin day. You have been debunked cosmo. Why have temperatures not risen since 1998?
Why was this one of the coldest winters on record?
Global Warming is a huge politically driven money grab.
Well grab away cosmo, because by the solar trends, we are headed for cooler weather. NATURALLY.
Minion, your masters will soon leave you behind.
I’m done for the day on this. cosmo, you’ve had all day and have done extremely little to disprove the NATURAL cycles of the sun that CORRESPOND to NATURAL climate change.
So, as I have quit for the day, drive on through and try to discredit links, scientists, and me. You still can’t disprove the natural cycles of the sun, historical climate change, and the fact that you have been so drawn up in the shrill you can’t see facts.
http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Marc_Morano
“Marc Morano is communications director for the Republicans on the U.S. Senate Committee on Environment and Public Works. Morano commenced work with the committee under Senator James Inhofe, who was majority chairman of the committee until January 2007 and is now minority ranking member. In December 2006 Morano launched a blog on the committee’s website that largely promotes the views of climate change skeptics.
Morano is a former journalist with Cybercast News Service (owned by the conservative Media Research Center). CNS and Morano were the first source in May 2004 of the Swift Boat Veterans for Truth claims against John Kerry in the 2004 presidential election [1] and in January 2006 of similar smears against Vietnam war veteran John Murtha.
Morano was “previously known as Rush Limbaugh’s ‘Man in Washington,’ as reporter and producer for the Rush Limbaugh Television Show, as well as a former correspondent and producer for American Investigator, the nationally syndicated TV newsmagazine.” “
“The topper is the alarmist selling point of a world wide average temperature. Say what? Don’t you acknowledge the different climate regions? (arctic, deserts, lush tropical forests, savannas)?” [Regular]
Ummmm…. I do believe that is why it is called an “AVERAGE” ??? You take ALL of those regions, and add them all together, and then you divide by the appropriate number, and — wait for it — You come up with an AVERAGE…. A MEAN…. not a MEDIAN…. a MEAN….
So… What, pray tell, is wrong with an Average World Wide Temperature???
SolDevVB,
Thank you for proving that you do not understand climate science.
Earth’s temperatures are now being influenced by BOTH natural AND anthropogenic forcings.
cosmos_originally
Posted July 11, 2008 at 12:11 pm | Permalink
http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Marc_Morano
“Marc Morano is communications director for the Republicans on the U.S. Senate Committee on Environment and Public Works. Morano
Point proven. Much ablidged cosmo.
SolDevVB
Posted July 11, 2008 at 12:11 pm | Permalink
So, as I have quit for the day, drive on through and try to discredit links, scientists, and me. You still can’t disprove the natural cycles of the sun, historical climate change, and the fact that you have been so drawn up in the shrill you can’t see facts.
*********************************************
cosmos_originally
Posted July 11, 2008 at 12:11 pm | Permalink
http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Marc_Morano
“Marc Morano is communications director for the Republicans on the U.S. Senate Committee on Environment and Public Works. Morano
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cosmos_originally
Posted July 11, 2008 at 12:16 pm | Permalink
SolDevVB,
Thank you for proving that you do not understand climate science.
******************************************************************
And thank you again for again proving my point.
Good post, Regular.
We aint seen nothing yet as far as climate change is concerned. The evidence shows that there have been catastrophic changes in climate which came without any contribution from the industrial revolution.
Fossils of organisms that can only exist in tropical regions today that have been found in the polar regions.
“Dinosaurs Walked Canada’s Great North”
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2004/10/041018084253.htm
The fossil fuels that are mined today for energy obtained their innate carbon from the process of photosynthesis during their “former” life as plant matter on the surface of the earth. Such massive amounts of fossil fuel reserves indicates that in the past there were massive amounts of CO2 in the atmosphere.
SolDevVB,
And you have not, and cannot disprove that anthropogenic forcings are warming Earth now.
#
Chas
Posted July 11, 2008 at 12:15 pm | Permalink
“The topper is the alarmist selling point of a world wide average temperature. Say what? Don’t you acknowledge the different climate regions? (arctic, deserts, lush tropical forests, savannas)?” [Regular]
Ummmm…. I do believe that is why it is called an “AVERAGE” ??? You take ALL of those regions, and add them all together, and then you divide by the appropriate number, and — wait for it — You come up with an AVERAGE…. A MEAN…. not a MEDIAN…. a MEAN….
So… What, pray tell, is wrong with an Average World Wide Temperature???
—————————-
Put some thermometers in your refrigerator. One in the freezer compartment and one in the chilled compartment. Now average the two together.
What does the average tell you about the function of your refrigerator? That, on average it’s cold?
All things being equal, your freezer is going to freeze and your chill box is going to chill. An average temperature does little to define the individual compartments of your refrigerator or their function.
Even more ridiculous, average the temperature of a burner on your stove with your refrigerator. What meaning can you get out of that for utilitarian use?
Is it cooler under a shade tree? How about a shade tree near water? How about a shade tree near a stream in the mountains? How about a palm shade tree in the desert?
How is the temperature average of shade underneath a palm tree in the desert going to have an effect on a shade tree by a stream in the mountains? What is the relevance? Averaging them will do exactly what? That one can average numbers for the sake of averaging?
There are too many conditions such as geology, location and natural climate events such as oscillations that affect temperature for average temperatures to have a meaning.
Yeah, it can be used on a macro scale over a long period of time to look at trends. But we are talking about thousands of years, if not tens of thousands of years to look for a trend. Temperatures go up and down with too great a frequency in a small time period to be useful for trends.
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/
“Anomalies and Absolute Temperatures
Our analysis concerns only temperature anomalies, not absolute temperature. Temperature anomalies are computed relative to the base period 1951-1980. The reason to work with anomalies, rather than absolute temperature is that absolute temperature varies markedly in short distances, while monthly or annual temperature anomalies are representative of a much larger region. Indeed, we have shown (Hansen and Lebedeff, 1987) that temperature anomalies are strongly correlated out to distances of the order of 1000 km.”
Anyone need a break from puerile politics, incessant testosterone tanglings, liberal vs. conservative contretemps, post-abortive vs. lily-white borned-again,etc.? Observe this and weep:
http://www.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/europe/07/11/holocaust.reunion/index.html#cnnSTCPhoto
This is what life is all about, folks. Or, shall I say, it’s what family ties SHOULD be all about……
“We aint seen nothing yet as far as climate change is concerned. The evidence shows that there have been catastrophic changes in climate which came without any contribution from the industrial revolution.”
————-
Since thunderstorm lightning caused forest fires before humans were on Earth, humans cannot cause forest fires.
‘Chapter 6 Palaeoclimate’
http://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/ar4-wg1.htm
I’m curious Chas since you have reduced the earths temperature to a mean average one – what would that number be?
By the way answering your long winded rants with logic isn’t whining. You need to brush up on your reading comprehension.
Same old, same old: Conservatives and and ‘Big L’ Libertarians attacking scientists in political terms, or the science in clueless terms, as it’s easy to posit conspiracy theories than to even consider the alternative.
I’m starting to think George Carlin was right: we’re screwed. But hopefully our mutant homo whatever ancestors will thrive. . .
Thanks FilmFan
okobserver posted July 11, 2008 at 12:30 pm
“I’m curious Chas since you have reduced the earths temperature to a mean average one – what would that number be?”
—————-
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/2007/Fig1_2007annual.gif
Nano
Posted July 11, 2008 at 12:06 pm | Permalink
okobserver
Posted July 11, 2008 at 11:40 am | Permalink
Nano are you telling me that the EPA, the protector of the snail darter and the spotted owl has made a statement that might be contorversial?
_________________________________________________
Of course you’re correct. You and your deluded kind go ahead and destroy the environment. Your grandchildren and great-grandchildren don’t need clean air or water and they’ll greatly appreciate what you’ve done.
Carry on
————————
Nano when I see that you have done more that post on this blog then I will let you critize my contributions to conserving the earths resources. Until then – you and your deluded kind need to not be so judgemental of others who are probably doing more for the envirnoment just not patting themselves on the back like the dims do.
Interesting picture cosmos. So the mean average has increased .8 of one degree since 1880. Cosmos we have always had climate changes. Why do you think now is any different. Because some grant financed scientist have painted a picture for you and an unemployed politician has made millions telling the world that the sky is falling.
A Modest Proposal: The deniers have lost the argument, but they just won’t face the fact.
What say you we just let them pretend they won, and their pride will be preserved and we can move along…..???
Become a Partner in Hope.
http://www.stjude.org/stjude/v/index.jsp?vgnextoid=2edae64c5b470110VgnVCM1000001e0215acRCRD&vgnextchannel=b1f87ff0be118010VgnVCM1000000e2015acRCRD
UK Settles Iraq Torture Case
The British government has agreed to pay just under $6 million to settle a case over the torture of ten Iraqi civilians. The money will go to the nine surviving prisoners and the family of the tenth, who died from beatings by British jailers. The slain victim, Iraqi hotel worker Baha Musa, suffered ninety-three injuries to his body. Musa was twenty-six and the father of two children. His wife had died just two months earlier of a brain tumor. British officials say the settlement was accompanied by an official apology.
http://www.democracynow.org/2008/7/11/headlines
How much will US tax payers have to pony up?
Poll: Half of UK Military Forces Ready to Quit
In other news from Britain, a new poll shows military morale is at record lows because of the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. Nearly half of British soldiers and officers say they’re ready to quit the military altogether. The percentage of servicemembers reporting low or very low morale ranged from 59 percent in the British army to 72 percent in the Royal Air Force.
http://www.democracynow.org/2008/7/11/headlines
Kucinich Introduces Single Article of Impeachment for President Bush
And on Capitol Hill, Congressmember Dennis Kucinich has introduced a single article of impeachment against President Bush. The article accuses Bush of deceiving Congress to authorize the invasion of Iraq. Kucinich says he introduced the measure in part to simplify the thirty-five articles of impeachment he introduced against Bush a month ago. This week, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi suggested the House Judiciary Committee could soon take up the measure.
http://www.democracynow.org/2008/7/11/headlines
PC gone awry.
DALLAS — What do “black hole,” “angel food cake,” and “devil’s food cake” have in common?
They’re all racist terms, says a Dallas County, Texas, official.
A county commissioners’ meeting this week over traffic tickets turned into a tense discussion over race when one commissioner said the county’s collections office was like a certain astronomical phenomenon.
“It sounds like Central Collections has become a black hole,” Commissioner Kenneth Mayfield, who is white, said during the Monday meeting.
One black official demanded an apology, and Commissioner John Wiley Price, who also is black, said that type of language is unacceptable.
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,380382,00.html
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DavidB
Posted July 11, 2008 at 12:55 pm | Permalink
A Modest Proposal: The deniers have lost the argument, but they just won’t face the fact.
What say you we just let them pretend they won, and their pride will be preserved and we can move along…..???
——————————
Really?
Since when did you and others of your ilk, become the deciders?
When science ceases to have skepticism that is the day science dies.
Are you saying that science is dead now?
Non sequitur alert!
Cosmos attempts to draw a parallel between proven
catastrophic climate change in the past by means sans human and the perceived man made climate change at the present to lightning induced forest fires which can also be started by man. The logic from Cosmos does not follow since he ignores the fact that 100% of man made forest fires are not started by man made lightning.
“Since thunderstorm lightning caused forest fires before humans were on Earth, humans cannot cause forest fires.”
-Cosmos
Cosmos, how do humans use lightning to cause forest fires?
This I want to hear about.
okobserver posted July 11, 2008 at 12:41 pm
“Cosmos we have always had climate changes. Why do you think now is any different. Because some grant financed scientist have painted a picture for you and an unemployed politician has made millions telling the world that the sky is falling.”
——————
No.
Because of the science done by Joseph Fourier in 1824, Tyndall in 1859, Arrhenius in 1896, and many, many other scientists since then.
http://www.aip.org/history/climate/timeline.htm
————
Humans cannot cause climate changes because nature caused climate changes before humans were on Earth?
That’s like saying that since thunderstorm lightning caused forest fires before humans were on Earth, humans cannot cause forest fires now.
I’d like to take this time and opportunity to announce that there is a car show downtown this weekend and I found out by looking at the GO section of the Eagle (no Beacon) newspaper today.
There is still time to see car art at Greg Johnson’s and then there is more car art at City Arts… Which looks like it will be close to the art show.
So this is going to be one car crazy event.
This has been a public service announcement.
Cosmos I can strike a match and put it to dry timber and start a fire. This is causation that is proveable.
Science has yet to show us one single thing we do that has caused GW. They have ideas, they put forth suspected causes but they can not say unequivicably that man is causing it and can do anything to stop it.
You need to come up with a better example. That one doesn’t hold water.
Electriclarry
Posted July 11, 2008 at 1:18 pm | Permalink
Cars are evil. Don’t you read here?
“Cosmos, how do humans use lightning to cause forest fires?”
—————-
I did not say that they do that.
I’ve never said that all climate changes have been caused by only one factor.
BTW Electriclarry,
Welcome.
Electiclarry we live out by the ‘Old Geezer’ a car rebuilder. He has some great cars. Saw one the other day that was on a trailer being hauled. It had wood spokes in the wheels and the steering wheel was wood. I am looking forward to seeing it restored.
Of course my favorite ‘old’ car is the 1964 Mustang. I owned one before I started my family and traded it in for a station wagon. Biggest mistake of my life. It was candy apple red and had white leather interior. Someday I will see one like it and buy it to use in my second childhood.
okobserver posted July 11, 2008 at 1:20 pm
“Science has yet to show us one single thing we do that has caused GW.”
————–
If you put more GHG’s in an atmosphere, the increased radiative forcing causes warming.
Thanks for the welcome Everybody…
I miss the original Mustang too, (But not the Mustang 2) 67 & 68 are my faves from Ford.
1969 Pontiac GTO
Damn.
The last of the muscle cars.
Multi-nic’d ‘Regular’ Posted July 11, 2008 at 1:09 pm
“Are you saying that science is dead now?”
——————-
When people like ‘Regular’ are dumb enough to believe that bogus claims from someone like E. G. Beck equals “science”, then science is basically dead — at least for them.
#
cosmos_originally
Posted July 11, 2008 at 1:43 pm | Permalink
Multi-nic’d ‘Regular’ Posted July 11, 2008 at 1:09 pm
“Are you saying that science is dead now?”
——————-
When people like ‘Regular’ are dumb enough to believe that bogus claims from someone like E. G. Beck equals “science”, then science is basically dead — at least for them.
—————–
Back to your ad hominem mantra eh cosmos?
Poor lad, it’s all he’s got left.
Pelosi Slips Impeachment Onto the Table 57 minutes ago Pelosi Slips Impeachment Onto the Table
by John Nichols
Ohio Congressman Dennis Kucinich moved a “privileged resolution” to force House to consider the question of whether President Bush should be impeached for lying to Congress and the American people about the reasons for invading and occupying Iraq, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi surprised almost everyone by suggesting that the Judiciary Committee might indeed take up the issue.
Pelosi, who famously declared impeachment to be “off the table” before the 2006 election, now suggests that hearings on the president’s high crimes and misdemeanors are a distinct possibility.
“My expectation is that there will be some review of that in the committee,” the California Democrat told reporters Thursday.
“This is a Judiciary Committee matter, and I believe we will see some attention being paid to it by the Judiciary Committee,” Pelosi explained.
Malcious Spam Announces Iran Invasion, World War III
Details here:
http://www.itnews.com.au/News/80088,spammers-announce-world-war-iii.aspx
Since the Bush regime could very well launch an ‘emergency’ attack on Iran, this might fool people who otherwise would know better.
Be careful out there, people.
“Be careful out there, people.”
Tell me again. Who plays the fear card?
Answer: Libs
In 1968 I was on the Henry Clay in the yards in Charleston, SC.
We had about a dozen gear heads on board always trying to out do each other in the quarter mile.
I special ordered a 1968 Chevrolet Biscayne with a 427, 425hp engine. Put on 1′ cheater slicks and hydralic dumps. Built my own traction masters in the yard and torqued it up a little with a new cam.
10.9
It had little exhaust leak in the port header I couldn’t ever seem to fix. One of the dumps high centered gooing over crane tracks in the yard and rattled all the time. You could count the cylinders as they fired when you were at a light idling.
I’d sit at a stop light in my Army green 1968 chevy sounding like crap. Phisst, phisst, phisst from the header. Jingle, jingle, jingle from the dump.
But when someone was suckered in to running. . .
I’d open the dumps tap the gas and that old Chevy would bark! Wind it up about 22oo rpm, drop the 3200lb clutch and the front wheels would lift up off the pavement!
I miss that old car. It’s too bad this generation will never feel the power of a big block chevy!
Tell me again. Who plays the fear card?
Answer: Libs
LOL! You’re such a priceless twit, Fleetie! Only you could find a political message in a fairly mundane warning about some easily-avoided malware. . .
“Since the Bush regime could very well launch an ‘emergency’ attack on Iran, this might fool people who otherwise would know better.”
No political message in that statement? No fearmongering in that statement?
Besides, there is a price on my twit.
Tell me again. Who plays the fear card?
Answer: Libs
Tell me again. Who plays the fear card?
Answer: Libs
You obviously must have slept through the past 7 years. And have never heard of the Gulf of Tonkin. . .or the incredibly hokey staged “Iranian speedboat attack.”
And by the way, I said it could happen. I didn’t say it was going to happen.
“And by the way, I said it could happen. I didn’t say it was going to happen.”
Well, that changes everything.
Alas, despite the best efforts of any ideologues, science is still a powerful force for understanding our world…
Science has always had fakes and frauds and paid-advocates for special interests, as well as simple contrarians. They are always cast aside in the fullness of time.
As we build new energy sources to take America into the 21st Century, feel free to cast all the stones you want…
And, um.. I have an ilk?
Multi-nic’d ‘Regular’ posted July 11, 2008 at 1:50 pm
“Back to your ad hominem mantra eh cosmos?
Poor lad, it’s all he’s got left.”
——————–
No, and I’ve got science.
http://cdiac.ornl.gov/trends/co2/contents.htm
All that mult-nic’d ‘Regular’ has is bogus claims, like E. G. Beck’s.
#
cosmos_originally
Posted July 11, 2008 at 3:39 pm | Permalink
Multi-nic’d ‘Regular’ posted July 11, 2008 at 1:50 pm
“Back to your ad hominem mantra eh cosmos?
Poor lad, it’s all he’s got left.”
——————–
No, and I’ve got science.
http://cdiac.ornl.gov/trends/co2/contents.htm
All that mult-nic’d ‘Regular’ has is bogus claims, like E. G. Beck’s.
—————————–
Explain to everyone why it is bogus cosmos.
Explain to everyone that these measurements were taken long before anyone had a global warming agenda like you.
Explain to everyone how many of the scientists on the list are Nobel Prize winners and were collecting samples under peer-reviewed circumstances.
Explain to others why you cannot resist from attacking other posters and scientists even though you are not a scientist cosmos.
Explain to others your agenda cosmos. It’s not for the benefit of mankind now is it?
Explain why you cannot discuss topics in a mature manner cosmos.
Multi-nic’d ‘Regular’ posted July 11, 2008 at 3:44 pm
“Explain to everyone why it [E. G. Beck’s claim] is bogus cosmos.”
——————
I’ll let Dr. Georg Hoffmann explain. It’s easier to understood with graphs.
http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2007/05/beck-to-the-future
okobserver
Posted July 11, 2008 at 12:30 pm | Permalink
I’m curious Chas since you have reduced the earths temperature to a mean average one – what would that number be?
By the way answering your long winded rants with logic isn’t whining. You need to brush up on your reading comprehension.
=========================================
1) I made no claim to have any numbers.
2) I simply pointed out how the average temperature might be calculated… Please dont tell me that isnt the way an AVERAGE is calculated…
3) From the looks of your “whining” I would say YOU are still lacking in reading comprehension, since you insist on posting about things YOU think I said, that I simply did NOT say!!
4) Although that is one of your few favorite tricks, it doesnt work on thinking people… I will not sit here and defend to you something I didnt say, only to have you point out that I am doing the very thing you try to get me to do… Wont work anymore, OKOB… Just wont work!!
BTW, Mean and Average are used as synonomous… not one thing(NOT mean average)… :roll:
LAST —-
Regular…. There could be no Average taken between my stove top and the temperature INSIDE the freezer box, OR chill box… Dunce, the freezer box and chill box are enclosed, and can thus NOT interact with the air currents that surround the stove top temperature… Moreover, Those would be two temperatures INSIDE the house… a closed environment…
We are looking at Temperatures on a WORLD WIDE Basis, when it comes to average earth temperatures…. And it isnt for a day or week… more like months and years….
Do try to stay on the subject, ok??
Now, I am quite bored with the entire Global Warming thing… This has gone on for entirely too many days this week… Time to move to something else for a while…
:-D
Chas
Posted July 11, 2008 at 4:23 pm | Permalink
LAST —-
Regular…. There could be no Average taken between my stove top and the temperature INSIDE the freezer box, OR chill box… Dunce, the freezer box and chill box are enclosed, and can thus NOT interact with the air currents that surround the stove top temperature… Moreover, Those would be two temperatures INSIDE the house… a closed environment…
We are looking at Temperatures on a WORLD WIDE Basis, when it comes to average earth temperatures…. And it isnt for a day or week… more like months and years…
——————–
Okay, how about this.
The average temperature for some periods of the last 10,000 years have been an increase or 2.5 degrees in a 100 year period.
The average temperature for the last century according to alarmists has been 0.8 degrees in 100 years.
Now what?
That says to me that the warming trend has slowed down… but not stopped!!
BTW, SOME folks here wouldnt accept your 10,000 year claim…. :-)
Tell me, then, what is the average increase in the past FORTY(40) years??
Chas, what is the percentage of LOL, ROFL, !!, & ?? in your daily average post? Oh and of course a spread sheet is acceptable.
Thank You,
Donk DDS
Multi-nic’d ‘Regular’,
Do you disagree with any of Dr. Georg Hoffmann’s points about E. G. Beck’s CO2 claims?
http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2007/05/beck-to-the-future
#
cosmos_originally
Posted July 11, 2008 at 4:41 pm | Permalink
Multi-nic’d ‘Regular’,
Do you disagree with any of Dr. Georg Hoffmann’s points about E. G. Beck’s CO2 claims?
http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2007/05/beck-to-the-future
————————
Hoffman is entitled to his opinion on a blog, which RealClimate is. It is not peer-reviewed science on realclimate.org, it’s opinion pieces.
The scientists back then had no global warming or a climate agenda when they conducted their experiments.
Hoffman has an agenda and if one takes raw, measurable data and tries to make something it isn’t, of course one will come up with different explanations.
If one is to look at the data as a collection of empirical data using scientific methods, then the data cannot be disputed for what it is.
Photosynthesis utilizes co2 as well, but one certainly couldn’t take the study and use it for proof of anything concerning photosynthesis.
The data is what it is, collected data.
#
Chas
Posted July 11, 2008 at 4:29 pm | Permalink
BTW, SOME folks here wouldnt accept your 10,000 year claim…. :-)
——————–
Some people don’t accept the alarmist attempt at re-writing climate history.
For instance, as far as the Alarmist are concerned, the Holocene optimum never existed.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Holocene_climatic_optimum
Chas I leave for hours and you are still around whining, acting like you are an expert on GW, and putting down anyone who doesn’t follow your convaluted thought processes.
Thank goodness there are few on this blog that do.
Phantom
Posted July 11, 2008 at 10:23 am | Permalink
11 bear markets since 1940, two of them under bush 2, so I guess that would be 3 we could attribute to the bushes.
funny how cons want to look at that as some sort of badge of honor —-
You GW bloggers really make me laugh —- here you are in the middle of no where kansas — the closest thing you have to a weather station is a wet finger and an old gas station thermomemter and you want everyone to believe you are some sort of experts because you read a book / took a class / clipped an article — get a grip Kansans
ya gotta have something more consttructive to discuss — 9 months at least of insults on gw —- what fools —
OKOB you want to stop lying NOW??? Or do I let my keyboard get out of hand again?? Your choice…. I have not put anybody down over global warming…. IF YOU COULD READ, I HAVE STATED SEVERAL TIMES I AM NOT SURE WHAT EFFECTS CO2 EVEN HAVE ON WARMING…. I HAVE SAID WHAT MANY HAVE SAID… WARMING IS HAPPENING… LIKE IT OR NOT… AND I BELIEVE THERE ARE NUMEROUS THINGS WE CAN DO AS HUMAN BEINGS TO CLEAN UP OUR POLLUTIONS, AND OUR HAZARDOUS WASTES AND CHEMICALS….
I HAVE NOT PUT DOWN ANYBODY OVER THE WARMING ISSUE!!! AND YOU CANT FIND ONE INSTANCE OF IT EITHER….
CAN YOU BE ANY MORE OF A LIAR, OR WHAT???
And people wonder why my keyboard gets out of hand with your friggin nonsense??? Geez!!
70 Dodge Charger White w/ red leather bucket seats – new baby fit nicely between the 2 front seats in his carrier on the console —-
OKOB… YOU are the one putting people down because of differing opinions…. NOT ME… and you can just stop your damn lying now, before it gets even worse than it already is!! Got it??
So, Regular, one more time here… Tell me what the average increase in world wide temperatures is in the past FORTY(40) years??
“And people wonder why my keyboard gets out of hand with your friggin nonsense??? Geez!!”
Uh oh. clark, I mean chas, is going to the clock tower.
Chas
Posted July 11, 2008 at 4:25 pm | Permalink
Now, I am quite bored with the entire Global Warming thing… This has gone on for entirely too many days this week… Time to move to something else for a while…
=========================================
NOW, Granny Okie Dope…. Please note when I posted the above comment…. And then, lets see you find somewhere that I put anybody down over global warming???
fleettwood >>>> SHUT UP!!!
Geez! Don’t shoot me.
Chas when you lessen yourself by calling others names it just points to either a lack of intelligence or a lack of comprehension of the english language on your part. You choose. You spend your day yelling at others, portraying yourself an an expert on Global Warming no less. Yesterday it was putting others down with your vast knowledge of how the senate and congress worked for those dims who didn’t know this. The right is very aware of how the government works. So it must have been for them.
Then you call others whiners when they question your ‘authority’. You need to just get over it Chas.
I’m sorry Chas I forgot to mention how frightened I was of your out of control keyboard. I am literally shaking in my boots. Please not the ‘out of control keyboard’. Is that like waterboarding?
Spin it all you want Granny…. you still havent shown where I put anybody down over global warming… Which I have, however, said numerous times, I dont know the statistics… only what I observe…. Why dont you find THOSE posts??? Hmmmm????
As for Dems and Repukes in Congress, that isnt even an argument… Any reasonable person knows that without the votes, the Dems cant do anything…
And all YOU can do is come on here and WHINE about what I post?? Why dont you go back and read what YOU have had to say today that didnt include putdowns, and demeaning remarks… Hell, you just now did it again!! For the Umpteenth time already!! It really gets old Lady…. REALLY OLD… Lady…. I would just as soon Global Warming go find its own little corner… I jumped in, because there were things that I have observed… I AM NOT A SCIENTIST…. I HAVE SAID THAT NUMEROUS TIMES, AS WELL…. SO DONT EVEN START!!!
I HAVE NEVER PORTRAYED MYSELF AS A FRIGGIN EXPERT ON GOLBAL WARMING!! NEVER!!
SO JUST STOP YOUR STUPID LYING SPREE BEFORE IT GETS EVEN WORSE… YOU ARE ALREADY WALLOWING IN IT HIP DEEP NOW…
Chas
Posted July 11, 2008 at 6:50 pm | Permalink
Spin it all you want Granny…. you still havent shown where I put anybody down over global warming… Which I have, however, said numerous times, I dont know the statistics… only what I observe…. Why dont you find THOSE posts??? Hmmmm????
——————–
Chas you haven’t shown where I said you put people down. I said you protrayed yourself as an expert and we all know that isn’t so in GW or anything else.
Chas you really need to work on yur anger problem. There is help available out there. If you can’t locate it let me know and I will find some for you. Your head could burst with this much pressure.
okobserver
Posted July 11, 2008 at 6:42 pm | Permalink
Chas when you lessen yourself by calling others names it just points to either a lack of intelligence or a lack of comprehension of the english language on your part. You choose. You spend your day yelling at others, portraying yourself an an expert on Global Warming no less. Yesterday it was putting others down with your vast knowledge of how the senate and congress worked for those dims who didn’t know this.
The right is very aware of how the government works. So it must have been for them.
Then you call others whiners when they question your ‘authority’. You need to just get over it Chas.
I HAVE NEVER CLAIMED ANY AUTHORITY ON GLOBAL WARMING, YOU STUPID WENCH!! AND RIGHT THERE IN BOLD…. YOU SAID I WAS PUTTING PEOPLE DOWN…. WHICH I DID NOT DO… EITHER ON GLOBAL WARMING, OR ON THE ACCUSATION THAT THE DEMOCRATS HAVENT DONE ANYTHING SINCE 2006…. I BELIEVE YOU WERE IN ON THAT FALSE STATEMENT AS WELL….
NO AUTHORITY ON THAT ONE…. JUST THE FACTS, MA’AM…. JUST THE FACTS!! ROFL!!!
NOW GO BACK TO YOUR RATS NEST AND LEAVE ME THE HELL ALONE!! ALL YOU DO IS COME ON HERE TO HARASS ME, ALMOST DAILY LATELY!!
I DO THINK YOU ARE THE ONE WITH THE FRIGGIN PROBLEM…. ANY RATIONAL PERSON WOULD HAVE AN ANGER PROBLEM WITH YOUR CONSTANT BELITTLING, AND LYING, AND DEMEANING ATTITUDES…
okobserver
Posted July 11, 2008 at 5:24 pm | Permalink
Chas I leave for hours and you are still around whining, acting like you are an expert on GW, and putting down anyone who doesn’t follow your convaluted thought processes.
========================================
AND WHADDYA KNOW…. THERE’S ANOTHER ONE OF YOUR LIES ABOUT ME PUTTING DOWN PEOPLE….
NOW YOU DONT JUST EXHIBIT A READING PROBLEM, YOU SEEM TO HAVE SPOUTED A MEMORY PROBLEM ON TOP OF IT…. MAYBE YOU BETTER GO SEE SOMEBODY…. I AM DOING JUST FINE, GRANNY!!
“WENCH”
Chas, could you back off the name calling?
Chas
Posted July 10, 2008 at 10:50 am | Permalink
If more people understood the legislative process, and how things move through Congress, instead of listening to the news hounds, that approval rating would be significntly higher…
Chas
Posted July 10, 2008 at 11:10 am | Permalink
Sol, are you really so ignorant of the capabilities and contacts of the RR, when it comes to their obsessive interest in forcing Armageddon??
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Just a couple of your putdowns from yesterday Chas. Funny that a minister would be making fun of the ‘RR’ isn’t it.
Your words speak so loud I can’t hear your keystrokes.
It’s Friday night and I have to pack. Flying to DC in the morning. Wasted too much time on you today. Be happy in your delusional world where you are all things to all people.
Don’t come back granny. NO ONE will miss your sorry whining butt!
Just a couple of your putdowns from yesterday Chas. Funny that a minister would be making fun of the ‘RR’ isn’t it.
tHAT FIRST ONE??? NOT EVEN CLOSE… HOW IS A FACT A PUYDOWN???
SECOND ONE?? HEY MANY PEOPLE ARE IGNORANT OF THE AGENDA OF THE RR… SEEMED TO ME SOL MIGHT BE ONE OF THOSE… NO PPUTDOWN THERE YOU CRAZY WENCH!! WHY DONT YOU JUST STAY IN DC….
No doubt it’s the stroke.
Multi-nic’d ‘Regular’ posted July 11, 2008 at 4:48 pm
“The data is what it is, collected data.”
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Correct.
The “data” does not consider the problems caused by nearby natural and anthropogenic CO2 sources.
That’s why in the 1930’s, Callendar analyzed the late 19th Century data, including wind direction and speed, etc, and found a CO2 level of close to 290 ppm during that time.
In 1986, Eric From and Charles Keeling reanalyzed Callendar’s work and the data, and found new evidence to support Callendar’s claim.
KansasNative I have grown to really like my Kansas home so plan to come back. If I didn’t who woulde keep Chas honest.
Could you watch over him while I’m gone. With his stroke history, the all caps seem to be increasing, I fear a relapse.
Perhaps you will be lucky enough to have a “stroke” as well Germ.
We can only hope!
I had to chuckle when I got a text from my youngest today, he had not bought gas since going to basic in Feb. He filled his car so he could drive to his duty station. It cost him 38 dollars and he was shocked! He asked when gas got so high?
Yeah Dog, things can change while your isolated.
Not so much anymore, but an assignment to a remote location can put you in weirdsville when one returns to the world (USA.)
Because one back in the day had no TV and usually no radio and the news was from the Stars and Stripes (military newspaper.)
When you come back, everyone appears to be in a rush, they are talking about stuff you never heard of, prices change, people actually speak English to you and fad things come out.
Then, you ease down in your recliner, pick up the remote and all is right. :)
dog, I can only guess what a shock it was for your son. It’s still a shock to me!
When does he get a leave?
SOMEONE needs to address the FILTHY equipment being used at Wesley. I am floored that they would allow such dirty equipment to be used.
I saw the base of an IV pole that looked like it hadn’t been cleaned in MONTHS if not years. I used to clean medical equipment and that is totally unacceptable. The base of the bed was just as bad…and this is a time when everything must be cleaned thorougly to prevent the spread of MRSA and VRE. And yeah, it DOES matter.
PMom, I hope you haven’t had to be in the hospital! Are you OK?
I’m ok, just another death. 4 in a 2 week period is too much for anyone.
Your family, PMama??
Yeah, PMom, that’s hard. I’m sorry. Hard to see any silver lining when the dark clouds keep coming. Chin up! You helped! Whatever time you cared for them was better because of you.
Did you ever get to feeling lots of relief from the epidural?
Very true, Linda
Grm,
I think they technically call the mustang you had a 64 1/2 – but they were officially called ‘65 mustangs. One way you could tell if you had a 64 1/2 was that the 289 c.i. engine had a generator rather than an alternator.
My first car was a 64 1/2 – it was a hard top and it had a four barrel carborator. It was light and very fast. Won a drag racing trophey with it.
Check out John McCain’s numerous problems this week:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/max-bergmann/the-week-that-should-have_b_111983.html
Night, all……
Yes Steven you are right about the 1/2. They came out midyear. The 65 had a more rounded back light and didn’t have the sporty look – long and sleek I liked. It was fast. I was a newly wed and it was our first big purchase. I kept it until I had my second son and then my husband decided we needed a station wagon. Even my grandkids give him a hard time over getting rid of it. I still have the pics.
My husband bought a chevy pu in 65. Brand new for $1900. Standard shift and no power steering or brakes. We sold it in 1995 for $1500. It had one door scrunch, the result of our oldest and his first year to drive in 1980. It had less that 100,000 original miles.
I love my little Prius now but it just doesn’t bring out the emotions that Mustang did.
Grm,
I am also jealous that you are going to D.C. This is not a good time to go there, but I do love that part of the country.
Hope you have a good trip.
Gets a little rainy in DC this time of year… rode my Motorcycle there one year… just before July 4th… Sis lived down in Newport News, and we spent the 4th in Williamsburg… It was a trip of a lifetime… BUT…. I got rained on more on that trip than any other road trip I ever took… before that, or after!!
So it turns out that McCain is an adulterer and a bigamist:
http://www.americablog.com/2008/07/mccain-was-still-married-to-his-wife.html
No doubt he’ll still get the Christian vote for his “family values” positions. Obama, on the other hand, has remained married to the same woman. If the shoe was on the other foot the reich-wing moral mafia would be outraged. But since it’s a Republican, like the gay Republican AG in Alabama, they just yawn.
Chas, what is the percentage of LOL, ROFL, !!, & ?? in your daily average post? Oh and of course a spread sheet is acceptable.
Thank You,
Donk, DDS
M-P did you see where McCain got his POW story all screwed up today?? In his book he told about how he gave up the names of his unit as the names of the Green Bay Packers defensive team… TODAY, in Pittsburgh, he told those people he gave up the names of his unit as the members of the Steeler’s Steel Curtain Defense…. Problem is, he was a decade too early!! Steel curtain wasnt there till mid-70’s!! LOL
Maybe now they’ll shut up about the “57 states” mistake of Obama…
Foolishness is anything that can be considered horseplay, goofing off, blasphemous, inappropriate, or (rather obviously) foolish.
It can also refer to unnecessary, pointless, or non-beneficial actions and comments of a group of people, as in, “Once this groups of bloggers are done with all their foolishness, they can get back to work. (Not a chance with this bunch)
There appears to be, as always, more foolishness than something of merit going on here.
Donk DDS,
You should ask your patients “what is the percentage of LOL, ROFL, !!, & ??”.
They will probably switch to another DDS.
Notwithstanding a slip of football teams, the name ‘Steel Curtain’ was coined in 1971 on a Pittsburgh Radio Station.
McCain was held prisoner until 1973.
Flying into DC but will be staying in Manassas, Virginia a really beautiful place to visit. Lots to see. Will make one trip to DC to the National Aquarium. My 8 year old granddaughter wants us to take her there.
McCain gave up the names when he was CAPTURED…
The fact is that McCain changed TEAMS from his book, to his appearance in Pittsburgh today… He listed players names that werent there when he was in Hanoi Hilton
Regular — THINK MAN… If he is in the Hanoi Hilton until 1973… HE WOULDNT KNOW WHO WAS PLAYING FOR THE STEELERS, OR FOR THE PACKERS AT THAT POINT… McCain wouldnt have KNOWN about that Pittsburgh radio station being that he was stashed away in Hanoi!!
Main Point — There WAS NO Steel Curtain when McCain was captured….
“”When I was first interrogated and really had to give some information because of the physical pressures that were on me, I named the starting lineup — defensive line — of the Pittsburgh Steelers as my squadron-mates!”
It’s a great story, and something that may help him pull in votes in the battleground state of Pennsylvania, but it’s almost assuredly untrue. If you’re picturing McCain naming Mean Joe Greene, Dwight White, Ernie Holmes and L.C. Greenwood, you’d be off by about six years. McCain was shot down in 1967, two years before Chuck Noll was hired, and two years before Greene was drafted. The Steel Curtain wasn’t the Steel Curtain until 1972 and Franco’s Immaculate Reception.When McCain was shot down, the Steelers were one of the worst teams in the NFL, in a stretch of six straight losing seasons. When McCain became a prisoner of war, the Steelers front four consisted of Ken Kortas, Chuck Hinton, Ben McGee and Lloyd Voss–I can only tell you that because I looked it up. Be honest, can anyone out there say they could have named those four without checking the Internet?”
http://boards.msn.com/MSNBCboards/thread.aspx?threadid=721215
“Actually, in McBush’s autobiography, he said he gave the Viet Cong the names of the defensive line of the Packers. I guess he “can’t recall” what he wrote in his own book. Or maybe he was just pandering, again.”
http://boards.msn.com/MSNBCboards/thread.aspx?threadid=721215
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Chas
Posted July 11, 2008 at 11:47 pm | Permalink
Main Point — There WAS NO Steel Curtain when McCain was captured….
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The name for the ‘Steel Curtain’ was coined in a radio contest in Pittsburg in 1971.
John McCain was held prisoner from 1968 and finally released in 1973.
Perhaps a new prisoner told him about the “steel curtain” or maybe he was pandering to a Pittsburg audience.
Who cares, you were wrong about the ‘Steel Curtain’ date.
Must be an Obama and Obama follower thing with getting numbers wrong.
(chortles)
Come on, John McCain is 72 years old….. give the guy a break…. (but, sheesh – President of the USA is a hell of a job for a 72-year-old man to have…)
http://cdiac.ornl.gov/trends/co2/contents.htm is a treasure trove of data…
Thanks for sharing the link..
“The Steel Curtain wasn’t the Steel Curtain until 1972 and Franco’s Immaculate Reception.”
Yup. I was a Raiders fan. I HATED the Steelers.
McCain is lying now about then.
So sad our choices (for now) this election.
One choice is a man who was told when to eat, drink, and poop for five years all while being beaten to enforce it.
The other is a panderer who actually thinks we should consider such folk as McCain and his supporters as marginally sane and able to be worked with.
My enemies are domestic. I want a candidate to defend me against them. It aint Barack and it aint McCain.
REGULAR — PLEASE RED CAREFULLY >>>>
There WAS NO Steel Curtain when McCain was captured…
James — go argue your point with NFL.com
Not to mention the Article I linked to above…
McCain could NOT have talked about the Steel Curtain of the Steelers when he was captured in 1967/68 — The term, according to the Article I linked, was not adopted until 1972, and the Immaculate Reception… What a catch that was!!!
James, I have no idea where you are getting your information — But it disagrees with everything thats been all over the news ALL day…
“Who cares, you were wrong about the ‘Steel Curtain’ date.” [Regular]
NO JAMES — YOU are wrong this time… I have posted many times here, I have Pittsburgh connections…. I am RIGHT on this one…
Furthermore, AGAIN, please note that McCain says he gave up the names of the Steelers starting DEFENSE… WHEN he was FIRST interrogated (1967 or 68)… So, your quibbling over the Steel Curtain Date, is a moot point… It didnt exist when he was captured, and interrogated by NVA… SO, just face it… McCain was wrong AGAIN!!
He ALSO include a similar story in his autobiography, in which he told the SAME story about the Green Bay Packers… SAME story!! Interesting, eh?? LOL Now the Packers, since they were a successful team at that time, makes more sense than him including the Steelers!!
Steelers Gaffe >>>>
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/21134540/vp/25646180#25646180
Forest fires offers CO2, some of them very tall and steep. At the very least, expect your driver to have the atmosphere. Quite often the hosts end up being quite entertaining and they can become forest fires for the area.
New poster here!
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CanoSpinach
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Frank
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