Here’s the take of former Reagan and Bush I speechwriter Peggy Noonan on the GOP woes: “Rush Limbaugh declared on the radio this week, ‘I’m here to tell you, if either of these two guys (John McCain or Mike Huckabee) get the nomination, it’s going to destroy the Republican Party. It’s going to change it forever, be the end of it!’
“This is absurd,†she wrote. “George W. Bush destroyed the Republican Party, by which I mean he sundered it, broke its constituent pieces apart and set them against each other. He did this on spending, the size of government, war, the ability to prosecute war, immigration and other issues.
“Were there other causes? Yes, of course. But there was an immediate and essential cause.â€

159 Comments
yep, chimp-boy, the great unitiator!!!!!!!!!
The reichwing is getting what they deserve!
Sure blame everything on Bush, before him it was Clinton. Life is just not fair. I blame it all on the liberal News Media. What every it its. Go my man Mitt.
George that dog just don’t hunt! The whole “ Liberal news media” bug-a-boo is another line of crap that is being fed out. If that was the case and foreign news organizations seem to have no problem finding founded proof against those in the Bush Administration. Interviews with principals in their own words stating how they were able to deceive the American public. Than why is it that none of the MSM are jumping on this?
How is it that G.W. Bush on the official White House website can put up information that is damaging to the Administration and shows a intent to impose a Communist style government. But when was the last time you ever heard about any of it on ABC, CBS, NBC or even read about it in the Wichita Eagle?
You ever watch CSPAN and listen to the debates over such things as F.I.C.A? Here we have Republicans arguing the need to spy on the entire communication network in the United States without a warrant and why? Because if a call comes from Pakistan and is going to Egypt but if perhaps on a Sunday and the wind is coming out of the East. And the call is routed through a line that passes through the United States we have to be able to listen in on all calls within the U.S. Not just state that if a call originates outside the U.S. and passes through then a warrant is not required. NO we have to be able to listen in on ALL calls within the U.S.! If I have to drive a nail, I do not beat the entire wall in just to hit a nail that only makes sense.
If it is your job to safe guard the rights of the American people than why demand to be able to openly violate the Constitution? Where are the Democrats in all this? Why they speak softly in a half hearted effort to point out there is no need for such a swiping law. Then vote with the Republicans for that swiping law!
So which New organization reported on this last night? Air America might have, but then if you do not have XM radio how would you know.
The whole story that the MSM has a liberal bias was started by the Neoconservatives so any real information that is exposed will be automatically discounted as just more liberal lies. But by and large our news organizations have been working hand in hand with those wishing to undermine the American people.
Clinton didn’t break the Democrat party: you’re not listening to Noonan, george.
Noonan is saying to the Republics: unless Republic pundits and other figurative shepherds who guide and form Republic opinions are willing and able to go through the kind of serious, introspective process of delineating exactly what’s happened to the GOP since 2000, why exactly they’ve strayed from American conservativism (as forged in the past 200 years or so west of the Mississippi) then — and ONLY then — is the GOP on the decline. Noonan is hoping Republics will heed her words and act in time to save the 2010 mid-terms.
This, by the way, is Ms. Noonan’s standard advice. In her words, “Sack up, get serious, define. That’s the way to help.” And by “sack up,” she means “man up.”
Noonan offered similar advice to the Democrats following the 2004 election. Say what you want about Peggy Noonan, because I know you will, but if you were stuck with only one piece of advice you could offer over and over, her “man up, get serious, define” would apply to damn near all occasions. A lot of people on the left resent like hell her words, mostly because she offers these words to Democrats only AFTER they’ve lost an election. And a lot of people on the right resist like hell her words (see george, above), although they should give her some credit at least for offering advice instead of pathology (at least she coughs up this bromide before election day). Today’s Republics resist her because they’ve adopted this toxic heuristic that “if you air the Republic’s dirty laundry in public, then you’re no Republic,” corollary to “you’re either with us or against us” (a binary recipe for certain disaster). She’s not above making mistakes in other areas (see her early undying loyalty to Augustus Stupidus, since recanted), but this is good advice. And timely. :D
Analysis may be Bush’s enemy, but it should not be the enemy of Republics in the post-Bush era.
From the article:
Bill Clinton, with his trembly, red-faced rage, makes John McCain look young. His divisive and destructive daily comportment—this is a former president of the United States—is a civic embarrassment. It is also an education, and there is something heartening in this.
Mr. Obama takes the pummeling and preaches the high road. It’s all windup with him, like a great pitcher more comfortable preparing to throw than throwing. Something in him resists aggression. He tends to be indirect in his language, feinting, only suggestive. I used to think he was being careful not to tear the party apart, and endanger his own future.
But the Clintons are tearing the party apart. It will not be the same after this. It will not be the same after its most famous leader, and probable ultimate victor, treated a proud and accomplished black man who is a U.S. senator as if he were nothing, a mere impediment to their plans. And to do it in a way that signals, to his supporters, How dare you have the temerity, the ingratitude, after all we’ve done for you?
——————-
Anyone surprised that Phillip chose to ignore the majority of the article about Bill Clinton and hone in on the Bush bashing paragraphs?
outlander
Posted January 26, 2008 at 7:47 am | Permalink
Anyone surprised that Phillip chose to ignore the majority of the article about Bill Clinton and hone in on the Bush bashing paragraphs?
————
Not at all. It’s been obvious for some time that Phillip cares more about the Republics than the Democrats.
But Outlander was she wrong about the effect the Bush administration has had on the GOP?
I mean up until 2004 I was a uninformed Republican on what was happening within my own party.
If you had said Neo-Con I would have looked at you funny because I had never heard of them.
I believed in Bush and the invasion of Iraq, like so many I figured he was the President and most have more information than I was getting. I could never have imagined that the President of the united States, after we had been so viciously attacked. Would have totally abandoned the effort to capture or kill those who attack us. Solely to go off on a personal vendetta. That we would have been so deceived by the Administration in that adventure. This conclusion after years of simply looking for something to reaffirm that support.
If people are ignorant of all this it is not because the information is not there, it is simply because they have chosen to remain ignorant. It was all amazing to me at first, here was all those evidence in plain sight, it actually does not take a great effort to uncover it. So why is this evidence not better hidden? Then it occurred to me, if a secret is going to come out then who better to reveal it then your worst enemy? people will just dismiss it as more lies told by someone that people already know as your enemy.
Bush, Cheney and the rest of them are not a Republicans, but they sure used the party to farther their goals.
Voters have a clear choice this time around. The last Democratic administration brought peace and prosperity that included almost all Americans. The current administration has brought us constant wars and a prosperity that only included the very wealthy and large corporations. We also stand now on the brink of what will probably be remembered as the worst economic downturn since the Great Depression. The Bush administration has in effect castrated the Republican party. What they have to show for 8 years of republicanism is not what most Americans want for this country.
Yes, Bush has broken his party. Where is the fiscal restraint most republicans claim to support? Where is the smaller government? Thanks to Bush, America may go the way of the old Soviet Union, for many of the same reasons.
And what does the religious right have to show for their support? Please show one thing Bush has done for his religious supporters.
Pulling the old republican coalition together again will take a miracle. The only way I see that happening is if Democrats run Hillary as their candidate. Will Democrats once again snatch defeat from the jaws of victory?
I wouldn’t put it past them.
Well WD, I haven’t had your apparent epiphany experience.
Of course, the subject of my previous post was not Ms. Noonan’s accuracy, but to point out the lake of Clinton that Phillip Brownlee had to go through to get to the Bush pond. So let’s take a look at what she said.
First, Ms. Noona quotes Rush about a McCain and Huckabee victory possibly destroying the Republican party, and rightfully called it absurd. But then she followed with her own absurd comment when she said that; “George W. Bush destroyed the Republican Party”
Talk about hyperbole! There may be a bit of friction among the constituent groups of the Republican party, but this is understandable in the primary season.
But not to worry. The Clintons are the Republican uniters.
Seems to me the Republican Party has always re-invented itself to keep up with the times. During the Eisenhower Period, the Reagan-Bush Sr. period, during the Clinton Era (contract with America) and of course currently.
Conservative values are core, but the view of those values change as time progresses.
Fifty years ago, women wearing pants were mavericks and having three TV channels was the norm. The same applies to the adjustment of how values fit into the current party system. That is, we reflect the social trends and necessities of the society.
I think everyone is over analyzing the situation and should just relax.
This time the Borrow and Blow Republicans can’t blame our economy on the Democrats, and while Bush may have blown a wad of it, he certainly didn’t do it single-handedly. Turning nifty profits for Honeywell and Blackwater and building bridges to nowhere while giving away the money that was supposed to build houses in New Orleans to their buddy-buddy ripoff contractors? Some conservative values! Next November when your job is on vacation in China and there’s no money left in the treasury for unemployment, and you paid more in taxes than your former CEO, remember whose pocket it’s in and vote to get it back!
Both parties are not for the American people. They have outgrown the citizens that say they represent. Sure they all have there grand plans to help us, so they say, but once they get inside of DC they all follow the money from lobbyist and special interest. What is bringing down this country is the politicians, they are the ones selling us out.
Forget the dummy McCain who doesn’t know his own adviser is on the Plunge Protection Team!
Ron Paul for the long haul!
Dr. Paul WILL put thousands of REAL dollars in YOUR pocket. Wanna see how?
Dr. Paul’s 4 point economic stimulus plan even includes legislation and is viewable online.
http://RonPaul2008.com
Noonan is right.
40 percent of the 9 Trillion dollar deficit occurred after Worst. President. Ever. signed seven years of spending bills.
40 percent.
NATIONAL DEBT GRAPH

(as a % of GDP)
The first massive red line skyrocketing upwards represents the debt growing under Reagan Bush.
The blue line trending down is Clinton.
The red line going back up again is Bush II.
Thanks to the website zFacts.com for above graphics
Noonan is right.
40 percent of the 9 Trillion dollar deficit occurred after Worst. President. Ever. signed seven years of spending bills.
40 percent.
NATIONAL DEBT GRAPH
![]()
(as a % of GDP)
The first massive red line skyrocketing upwards represents the debt growing under Reagan Bush.
The blue line trending down is Clinton.
The red line going back up again is Bush II.
The January 28th issue of Newsweek has an article titled “How My Party Lost Its Way,” written by Michael Gerson who is a former bush speechwriter. It’s an easy read and offers another insight.
http://www.newsweek.com/id/96377
Wednesday, August 31, 2007
National Debt Tops $9 Trillion
When George W. Bush was inaugurated, January 20, 2001, the National Debt was $5,727,776,738,304.64. On this date, it reached: $9,005,648,561,262.70.
C’mon, George.
Just a little more of that can-do spirit, and you and Worst. Party. Ever. can double the national debt!
Thanks to zFacts.com for the above information and graphics.
Wonder how come the Democrats, who are in control of both Houses haven’t done anything about the national debt?
Because, outlander, the Democratic party isn’t in control of anything.
Counting LIEberman, the Senate has a one vote majority for the Dems, and I don’t count that POS.
Besides, the President signs or vetos.
He’s the “decider,” remember?
Really Capn? I haven’t heard of a deficit reduction bill that Bush has vetoed.
LindainKS,
Thanks for the link.
But the Repuke party didn’t “lose its way.” This is a perfectly logical outgrowth of its horrible policies and its scorched earth policies against any and all opposition.
Right, outlander.
It’s all the Democrats fault.
:roll:
“Wonder how come the Democrats, who are in control of both Houses haven’t done anything about the national debt?”
Way to avoid the issue. Your rhetorical question ignores the fact that the debt ballooned under Republican control. BTW, the Democrats, other than chairmanships, do not have control of the Senate. Two independents caucus with the Democrats, and one of them can turn at any time.
Republicans have, at times (I hear this less nowadays) used the terminology “tax anc spend” to describe Democrats. Perhaps so, but the Republicans have added “borrow and spend” at an unprecedented rate.
Capn, I just wanted to offer another person’s “spin.” I think they got what they deserved and also appreciate karma more because of it. I laughed when I read Mr. Gerson’s spin that the Republican Party had met with great success by accomplishing all their goals and their search for new issues to replace the old ones has been less than successful. Now that’s some spin!
Noonan’s advice to the GOP is that they’re at a fork in the road.
One, deny you’re at the fork, refuse to learn from Bush did to the GOP…and embark on a long (if you’re as lucky as the Democrats) road to decline.
Two, accept that you’re at the fork, “get serious, define.” The loss of power coming in 2008 will be temporary: no permanent decline. This self-analysis is necessary but not sufficient to avoiding decline.
So far, as measured by the responses here, the GOP’s choosin’ Option One.
Why am I not surprised? :D
“the Democratic party isn’t in control of anything”.
———-
And/or they have no political courage.
Fools rush in where angels fear to tread.
It’s also interesting to note that another prominent Republic, David Frum, echoes Noonan’s advice and warns that, if the GOP eschews some hard analysis now and loses in 2008, then it’ll turn hard Right…just as the Democrats turned hard left under George McGovern in 1972.
Frum predicts that if that happens, the GOP is finished. Noonan advises the GOP to examine itself now, before the GOP turns Frum into a seer.
And both are getting skewered by Limbaugh’s GOP.
Why am I not surprised? :D
hehe, Linda, some spin indeed.
“We failed by . . . being too successful.”
Sure, you did.
It’s absurd to hear Cons lamenting that the Republic Party has lost its way. Fact is, the Republic Party had their way.
In six years of unified control government, Shrub and Co did more damage than is imaginable. It could take us a generation to regain our former prestige and clout.
Conservatism failed in the 1890s, again in the 1920s, again in the 1980s, and again at the beginning of the 21st century.
Conservatives failed because conservatism is a failed ideology. The greatest periods of American history all rejected conservatism in favor of the ideals our nation was founded on.
The Democrites can’t even pass the budget, they keep making extensions. Perhaps the dog at their legislation.
Sorry Capn, but you can’t blame Bushy for the national debt. If you do, then you are a hypocrite.
Why? Because you had no bitch with the 5 trillion dollars before Bush took over.
Where was your outrage? Where were your Clinton: Worst President Ever posts?
To most of us, 5 trillion is an outrage.
I posted the link to the debt clock yesterday and I see you used it. But go look again – and see the 1.5 trillion dollars your boy Clinton added to the debt.
O.K., I’ve established the national debt was huge before Bush, and that Clinton added over a trillion to it.
Now let’s fast forward.
Congress (yep Pelosi) just agreed to add 150+ billion to the national debt with the Stimulus Package.
Look to the future.
Look at the billions that both major democrat candidates have advertised spending as campaign promises:
Baby Bonds
Retirement Accounts
Socialized Medicine
Continuing the Iraq war and establishing permanent bases (Clinton said until at least 2013).
So you will see even bigger national debt (as if you really care) when the queen is installed for a third Clinton term.
As I have posted numerous times and was discussed at length yesterday: Both parties are responsible for debt spending.
The American people are ultimately responsible with our love affair with “REBATES” and local “Earmarks” (formerly pork barrel spending).
We DEMAND services beyond our means.
And we ALL are not willing to pay for them.
We LOVE our average credit card debt of $7K per card holder.
The sheep are kept at bay, and the spending continues, by the blame game and our attendance as red and blue team members.
One of the conservative planks abandoned by the GOP under Bush can be seen in CapnAmerica’s chart above, from 9:59am.
The red/blue trend began under Reagan, but in his defense supply-side economics was new; more accurately the lack of academic evidence in support for supply side was absent.
Dick Darman, who was a GOP economic strategist for Reagan and who became Budget Director for GHW Bush, browbeat the GOP into raising taxes in 1990. This was the “read my lips” fiasco that so humiliated the GOP that they split the 1992 vote between Bush, Perot, and their couches (many didn’t vote).
Under Bush, Darman’s “we must act with total awareness of our fiscal responsibility” has been abandoned. Today’s GOP considers budget deficits acceptable and the public debt irrelevant. Under Bush, fiscal policy has been simply that tax cuts solve all problems and that Americans are responsible fiscally only to their own individual self-interest. “Tax cuts pay for themselves” repeated often enough allowed today’s Bush supporters to avoid the worst symptoms of cognitive dissonance. Darman died yesterday, btw…probably to be followed shortly by the GOP.
In other words, under Bush the GOP has abandoned one of its hallmarks, balanced budgets, to the Democrats.
Just one example of many.
Clinton yrs. only reflected a small portion of the Nat. debt. Bush has ‘doubled down’. You’re comparing small potatoes to Big potatoes. And the Rich have been stuffed.
Why? Because you had no bitch with the 5 trillion dollars before Bush took over.
Most accumulated under Bush 1 and Reagan. Idiot. It’s easy to see where the Puke debt accumulates. Whenever they get in, they spend Billions and billions on the military. Clinton had the military budget cut down to $250 billion, about what the rest of the world spends. Your Bush has it up to about a tillion a year. Every trillion added has been wasted in the desert, or spent on new war machines which will eventually rust away in our own deserts.
If you want to wail on the Dems for voting in entitlements we can’t afford, well then go ahead. There’s a BIG OLD WOLF waiting out there in that regard.
But for the most part, it has been REPUBLICANS who have run up our debt.
One thing I know is that you can’t honestly trust any politician in the field. All we seem to get are promises, whether it is George H.W. Bush’s “No new taxes” pledge in the 1980s or the claim that Ron Paul will oversee the dismantling of the IRS (sure, an industry like that is just going to cheerfully step aside and go out of business.)
The worst thing is that we’ve reached the stage where we view voting as a choice between “the lesser of two evils.” One would hope that it would be possible to vote for “the better of two goods.” But it appears to be impossible today. We can babble about how Clinton is a bad choice or McCain is a bad choice or whatever, but in the end we vote not for the most honest and most qualified, but the one who is most likely to tell us what we wish to hear, and nothing else.
Gotta pick from enemies?
Noonan is more on point.
Rush, whose ego is at work here, vowed after his lost party lost in 2006 that “I’m not going to carry anyone’s water anymore.”
But of course, as we see here, he still is.
McCain and Huckabee differ only a shade and their nomination would be ruin, RUIN he’ll tell you.
Clinton yrs. only reflected a small portion of the Nat. debt. You’re comparing small potatoes to Big potatoes
Over a trillion dollars is small potatoes?
Hypocrite.
Before you found your new new weblog toys Capn and posted the graph, I had posted the link and a similiar debate began, which today appears to be a rehash of.
Look at who controlled Congress during all those years.
Again, the national debt is the results of the actions of BOTH political parties over history.
Until you guys take your blinders off, and realize this truth – both parties will CONTINUE to pull the wool over you eyes. They need this US against THEM team battle to survive and continue.
I posted past, present, and future. We should share the same outrage – at BOTH parties, similiar to the outrage over illegal aliens, which I think crosses political lines.
Until we do, we are going to go further in debt.
But you really don’t give a rat’s ass. You just want to bitch.
If you did care, you would be emailing your congressional delegation and telling them NOT to approve the stimulus package without finding a funding source.
But you will keep pointing fingers and accomplish nothing here today.
Maybe some republicans will attempt to post on this thread with their viewpoints on the thread topic. But more than likely, it will just be libs explaining to republicans why their party is supposedly failing.
There is no GOP downfall. It’s amedia fantasy.
Bush II nearly doubled that 5 trillion dollar debt you’re complaining about, AmWay. He did this with the complicity of the Republican controlled congress from 2000 to 2006. Trying to say this was a Clinton problem is a nice sleight of hand — I think you guys ought to figure out a new trick.
A couple of comments on the GOP and the Debt…..
Yes, a lot of Democrats bitched about the Debt LONG before Bush II. I was raising Hell during the REAGAN years about the deficits and debt.
Trickle down (a.k.a. Piss On You) economics have never produced a balanced budget – it is all smoke and mirrors.
Some here are blaming the Democrats for the Debt, presuming somehow that Republican presidents managed to lose the veto pen.
The budget process starts with the administration proposing a budget for the next fiscal year – Neither Reagan nor the Bushes ever even PROPOSED a balanced budget.
Clinton was responsible for $1.5 trillion – the Democrats can pay that off.
The Republicans are responsible for over $7.0 trillion – get your checkbooks out Conservatives.
The GOP is toast – just look at the “Bush III” approach that the Republican presidential candidates have taken – not one, except Ron Paul, has backed even a step away from Georgie.
And the GOP establishment is trying to neuter Ron Paul…….
Obama/Richardson 2008!!!!!!!!!!!!!
S Davis, your response confirms my last post.
You completely ignore the 5 trillion and the actions by the democrat controlled congress since
they took over. Both the appropriation acts they signed, and the stimulus plan increased deficit spending. They promised pay as you go. Well they
keep going, and going, and going – into more debt.
Thanks for the confirmation. Bush is history, but dwell on it more. Relish in it.
Baaah! Baaaah Sheep!
“, How dare you have the temerity, the ingratitude, after all we’ve done for you?”
This statement just blows my mind, it is horrid even for a pos reich winger like Noonan. While she is criticising the Clintons for supposedly using dirty trick…here she makes this comment.
This is NOT AT ALL characteristic of the rift between Obama and Hillary. This is the nature of a primary- that the ones on the same side have to fight against each other. The people who are making the biggest hype of this are the neocons who wish to divide and conquer…there is no end to their nasty tactics.
Noonan needs to be put right in the same category as Rush and Coulter. Note it wasn’t until Bush’s horridness was outed, that she finally decided to cut on him as well. Before, she couldn’t love him enough.
By the way, who ruined the Republican party? REPUBLICANS DID…all of them.
They defended the actions of Bush and Cheney and supported their lies in the face of obvious facts. So don’t throw the blame on Bush. It shows the system of rottenness of the entire thinking process of the Republicans.
AmWay you met them at their door and they can’t take the truth. They stand around with hands out waiting for the next election and Bush beat them to the punch. He is giving them their checks early.
Any truthful poster would look at he history of the deficit and see what makes it move up or down. Clinton gutted the military – a proven fact – and Bush found himself fighting an attack on our homeland with a crippled military. He started an unpopular war and I won’t debate that here and had to spend money to bring the military to fighting strength both with personell and equipment.
Throw in Katrina and hungry politicians in LA and you have a deficit raising scenario.
I am disappointed with Bush and am not defending anything he has done. But I am also not heaping the deficit on his head and any blogger who does is ducking the truth IMOHO.
The republican party will survive. It may be changed in structure but will survive. Change sometimes is necessary and hard to face but very healing.
“The people who are making the biggest hype of this are the neocons who wish to divide and conquer…”
Absolutely correct P Mom. The Dems have a long history of banging theirs heads with one another. We realize that change is needed and it is needed now.
The Republics apparently are of the opinion that another dose of Bush is what the country needs – notice my comments above about Ron Paul.
When the Convention is over, or a clear front runner is established, the Democrats will unite to defeat the common enemy the GOP.
AmWay,
Please see this graph:
http://zfacts.com/p/318.html
Since you seem to have trouble due to your Republican myopia, I will spell the graph out for you:
Under democratic presidents, the national debt went down. That trend continued under Nixon/Ford and Carter. Under Reagan/Bush I, the national debt shot up. Under Clinton there was a slight decline again and under Bush II, there was an increase.
Trying to make this a bipartisan issue is just plain dishonest, but thanks for playing, chump…
The Republican party is going into political obscurity. Most likely for the rest of our lives.
YIPPEKIYAAY
That said? We can learn from Rush and Noonan.
Rush understands that it IS war. Noonan extolls Obama and the call for “peace”.
This is why Obama must NOT be our nominee.
When you have the enemy cornered and turning on itself, ya don’t make nice with him.
You finish him off.
“Clinton gutted the military”
The Peace Dividend military began under Bush I, after the fall of the USSR. Clinton cut no more than Bush I did.
And Bush II managed pretty damned well in Afghanistan with the Clinton army. Iraq was unnecessary and was not planned by who?
Bush and the Neocons…………….
“Two weeks, two months, certainly not six months.”
Remember that?
The GOP and the military…………
http://www.snopes.com/military/limbaugh.asp
The Republicans support the military in every way, except they won’t join.
Even though I dislike McCain, at least he served, as did Chuck Hagel, the others, not so much.
WS you have put forth this argument before the facts don’t hold for you. The military was gutted under Clinton. Check out the facts. Look at the official government site. Posting a link about Rush’s anal cyst doesn’t support your position.
Look at the facts and post something that will support that the military wasn’t gutted.
Actually, the U.S. only has 30 percent of its GDP as external debt. Other countries, Japan – 150 percent, Germany – 70 percent and France – 65 percent.
It’s because the GDP in the U.S. has grown five times faster than debt since 2001.
The percent of the debt ratio to GDP ratio compared over the last 45 years, the Bush administration is 10 percent below the past averages.
Liberals advising conservatives?
I think we will do just fine, on our own.
Peggy Noonan and Rush Limbaugh are both important. We should listen to both.
However, Noonan is a little off the mark, in saying Limbaugh’s analysis of Huckabee and McCain is off the mark.
For starters, Limbaugh has NEVER given George W. Bush a pass. Limbaugh was hard on W. many, many times, over immigration, over McCain-Feingold, over the Ted Kennedy education bill, time and again, Limbaugh has let the President know when the base was unhappy with him.
Now, where Noonan also falls down is in her focus. To say that Bush has harmed the party is one thing. Actually, tough decisions had to be made, and there was no course of action Bush could have taken, that would have kept the Party perfectly happy.
Again, Noonans focus is off. Limbaugh is warning Republicans that McCain will divide the Republican Party even further.
Noonans argument is being misstated, by the left. The left would like to give us their take on Noonan: “Your Party is a wreck, time to take it to the salvage yard.”
That, of course, is not what Noonan is saying.
—–
By the way:
“Deficits are not caused by wild-eyed spending, but, instead, by periodic recessions” John F. Kennedy.
George W. Bush came to power during the Clinton recession, following the burst of the dot.com bubble.
Then, 9-11 happened.
Debt always goes up, during wartime.
One other things, libs:
What statistic do you have to show us, that somehow our economy is not strong?
Even if we are in a recession, we have a GDP which is LARGER now, than when Bush came to power.
Federal Revenue is at an all time high.
The number of people who are employed in American is at an all time high.
The unemployment rate is at historical lows.
We have a housing market correction, which has promted a stock market correction.
You want to use the stock market as a guide?
What is the driving force behind the stock market?
The value of any stock, in a nutshell, is a prediction of future corporate profits.
The stock market is NOT a history of what has happened, the stock market is a predictor of what might happen.
When the stock market dips, investors are simply predicting a drop in corporate profits.
I thought liberals did not like profits?
Even though taxes, on profits, help to pay down the deficit.
In fact, the only reason that the debt and deficit are prominent, again, is that we were about to BALANCE the budget, until inflation fears set in.
The taxes on dividends, capital gains and corporate profits were paying a huge amount into the federal treasury.
If the IRS isnt receiving as much money from corporate profits, where will that revenue have to come from, instead?
Again, lefties, be careful what you wish for.
Corporate profits are decreasing now.
Isn’t that what you wanted?
Ever since FDR’s New Deal, the Republics have won national elections by positioning their party as anti-Democrat: the GOP won national elections by winning the votes of a coalition of those who would not vote for the Democrat. The GOP has relied on the Democrats as THE source of their strength since Lincoln.
The debt increased under Reagan and Bush, with a Democrat Congress.
Why? Because each party’s dysfunction fed the others. The Republics refused to submit a budget with tax increases, and the Democrats refused to cut spending. That ended when Bush I proposed a tax increase, as did Bush I’s presidency. The embarrassment led the Republics to learn the WRONG lesson. What they learned was that tax increases are NEVER good. They convinced themselves that tax cuts ALWAYS pay for themselves, and therefore all tax cuts are good.
The debt fell under Clinton, with a Republic Congress.
Why? Because Clinton took up the mantle of Bush I’s fiscal courage and proposed balancing the budget with targeted tax increases and spending cuts. The Republics successfully prevented a massive increase in spending when national healthcare was strangled in the crib in 1993. For the remainder of Clinton’s term, both parties worked to reduce the deficit.
The debt skyrocketed under Bush II, with a Republic Congress. The Democrats had nothing to do with it. And that is what will, or has, killed the GOP. That is also why we are discussing the effect Bush II had on the GOP, and why the GOP needs less denial and more self-realization if it intends to carry on as the anti-Democrat party.
Because under Bush II, the Republics have become Democrats, only less personable. That ain’t what’s worked for them since 1952.
Clinton did gut the military. I went back and visit old shops in the 1990s where I use to work at and they either no longer existed or looked like ghost towns.
The rule in the 1990s, if you needed spare parts, better go out on the flight line and strip down a working aircraft, because there was no money to order new equipment.
The blunder butts on this blog don’t have a clue how deeply Clinton cut the military. It was a pitiful sight during the 1990s.
“WS you have put forth this argument before the facts don’t hold for you.”
Clinton, as did George H W Bush, decreased the military budget in response to the Peace Dividend when the USSR fell. Calling it “gutting” the military is just wrong.
If the military was in such bad shape, why were we able to invade and defeat Afghanistan so quickly?
George W Bush was operating on the last year of the Clinton budget in 2001, the fiscal year ending in October. The War against the Taliban was fought with Clinton’s army.
Further, the military has handled Iraq quite well, defeating that bogeyman Saddam Husein rather handily.
The political reality of an occupation was/is the problem.
But to continue the point, what requests from the military did Clinton deny?
Paul Samuelson once said “The stock market has predicted 9 of the last 5 recessions:
https://www.oppenheimerfunds.com/targetedCopy/AdvisorPages/EOM/advequityCommentary_Jan2008Special.jhtml?SID=100&AN=oppbrief_01/22/08&HB=HBBEXNTUXAAAGETM&VN=351189932
As stated on another thread, I think that Congress and the Federal Reserve may have over reacted. Much of the volatility in the international markets, Monday and Tuesday, was due to a French computer hacker messing around with the market:
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/pages/live/articles/news/worldnews.html?in_article_id=510089&in_page_id=1811
So what? In peacetime, why do we need to put so many resources into the military at the cost of other priorities? You make it sound like “gutting” the military is a bad thing. Remember Clinton balanced the budget. What’s happened under Bush? Run away apending with the war and all the pork barrel projects that were attached to bills he never vetoed, not once. Someone has to pay the piper sooner or later…and the latest handout to stimulate the economy isn’t exactly free money now is it? This administration has lived high on the hog on credit…now it will be up to the next administration to clean up the mess and the debt.
Actually Mary, the Republican Congress balanced the budget.
“Deficits are not caused by wild eyed spending, but, instead, by periodic recessions” JFK
I thought liberals did not like corporate profits?
And what IS a recession?
A recession is a REDUCTION in corporate profits!
Even though corporate profits are taxed at least twice. Even though dividends and capital gains and corporate taxes reduce the debt. Even though employement, by profitable companies, reduces the debt — still, liberals don’t like profits!
George W. Bush had to deal with a deficit causing recession, when he came into power.
George W. Bush then had to deal with 9-11.
No, he has not been perfect.
Limbaugh has NEVER let Bush off the hook, when Bush upset the base.
However, doing the best we can, with what we have, is one thing. That is what we did with Bush.
Allowing McCain, the enemy of conservatives, to lead the party, is something else.
GO MITT ROMNEY!
AmWay is sure starting to sound like Regular in his hysterical use of ad homenim and “hypocrite.”
AmWay, take a breath and look at the graph I posted again.
It shows the national debt doing what under Clinton?
Going up or going down?
Think real hard, AmWay. Furrow your brow and narrow your eyes and follow the line with your finger.
Under Clinton, the national debt went down.
Sheesh, what a maroon.
Hehe, now THAT’S good local politics.
Democracy in action:
http://www.rutlandherald.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080126/NEWS04/801260359/1003/NEWS02
Brattleboro to vote on arresting Bush, Cheney
January 26, 2008
By Susan Smallheer Herald Staff
BRATTLEBORO — Brattleboro residents will vote at town meeting on whether President George Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney should be indicted and arrested for war crimes, perjury or obstruction of justice if they ever step foot in Vermont.
The Brattleboro Select Board voted 3-2 Friday to put the controversial item on the Town Meeting Day warning.
According to Town Clerk Annette Cappy, organizers of the Bush-Cheney issue gathered enough signatures, and it was up to the Select Board whether Brattleboro voters would consider the issue in March.
Cappy said residents will get to vote on the matter by paper balloting March 4.
Kurt Daims, 54, of Brattleboro, the organizer of the petition drive, said Friday the debate to get the issue on the ballot was a good one. Opposition to the vote focused on whether the town had any power to endorse the matter.
“It is an advisory thing,” said Daims, a retired prototype machinist and stay-at-home dad of three daughters.
So far, Vermont is the only state Bush hasn’t visited since he became president in 2001.
Daims said the most grievous crime committed by Bush and Cheney was perjury — lying to Congress and U.S. citizens about the basis of a war in Iraq.
He said the latest count showed a total of 600,000 people have died in the war.
Daims also said he believed Bush and Cheney were also guilty of espionage for spying on American people and obstruction of justice, for the politically generated firings of U.S. attorneys.
I wonder if Willard Romney will mandate magic underwear. Will he launch a national effort to baptize the dead?
Since the GOP is aok with writing religion into law ya know.
Oh these are high times indeed. The NEW great hope of Rush and the shills is a kook.
econ101
Posted January 26, 2008 at 12:24 pm | Permalink
And what IS a recession?
A recession is a REDUCTION in corporate profits!
—
8O
Just come off hustling a LTC policy to the elderly or something? You need to decompress. Or something.
Because that is flat false.
How soon people forget. One of the reasons that the Democrats lost Congress races in 1994 was that they were making cuts, but raising taxes.
The “Contract with America” by the Republicans included a plan to balance the budget. Once in office, the Republicans had to compromise with Clinton on his huge tax increases, but ended up with the “power of the purse,” balancing the budget.
There was no surplus as Clinton played hocus pocus with the numbers and didn’t not include the Social Security deficit which would have put the numbers at a loss of -41 billion dollars.
It was Clinton’s goal to balance the budget during his administration, and he succeeded. You can give credit to whomever, but it happened under his watch….The Bush administration’s out of control spending has us where we are now. Ask yourselves…are we better off because he’s been in office for the last 7 years? If so, how?
Since Social Security isnt a part of the Budget, that figure is irrelevant, Ragular!! Totally irrelevant!!
I have no argument about the spending during Bush II’s reign Mary – it was out of control.
Better off? Yes, because the GDP has grown tremendously, people have lower taxes and can do more with their own money instead of having the Washington “waste-o-crats” spend it on frivolous programs.
It is considered off-budget Chas, yes that’s true sort of…
It is considered on budget when adjustments are made. It’s a revolving account that is neither off nor on budget.
It would be like saying the mortgage on your house is off-budget because it is a 30 year financial deal.
There are good reasons as to why the Independent party is growing.
Go ahead and dispute the facts as to what is happening.
I dont think so Regular… My Mortgage is definitely a line item in my household budget… But Soc. Sec. is NOT a line item in the Fed. Budget!
That’s true Chas, but you don’t count your income to pay your mortgage as a separate spending measure either. It all comes out of the same pot.
Same with the federal government. They have taxes designated for social security, but it still comes out of the revenue of the government and from the taxpayers. It’s analogous of receiving income from a second job just to pay your mortgage. It is still a burden on the taxpayer, the ultimate payer.
The purse in this case, are the collective purses of the U.S. taxpayers.
bush HAS been good for the “haves”. He’s been even better for the “have mores”.
Now? THEY get to be the stand in for him. bush will descend into hiding and those few he has helped get to pay the piper.
“Actually Mary, the Republican Congress balanced the budget.”
Total f***ing lie.
Clinton-Gore shut the gov’t down when the Repuke congress continued to spend the way they did under Reagan.
They paid the debt down in despite of the Repuke Congress.
Wow..lower taxes…what have I missed? Maybe I don’t understand it..but my taxes (federal or state) have never gone down. With inflation, I don’t notice anyone having more money to spend, I know I certainly don’t..yet government spending hasn’t appeared seemed to slow down much at all. How much is the Iraq war costing? How has the price of oil caused the cost of consumer goods to rise? Have you even been to the grocery lately? Even having more money to spent is irrelevant due to the rise in cost of living. But hey, you can pick up a house for a bargain right now. That was one thing good that happened because of the sub-prime lending disaster, never mind that the number of Americans who took out bankruptcy last year doubled. And then there’s the fact that we can all go to Walmart to buy China made products when we get our rebate check in the spring. That will make a huge difference in our lives, won’t it?
“The blunder butts on this blog don’t have a clue how deeply Clinton cut the military. It was a pitiful sight during the 1990s.”
Quick, where’s that picture of the crybaby?
I’ve got it. The military should hold a bake sale . . .
-
Chas if your home mortgage isn’t a line item on your budget and you didn’t make a principle payment each month what would happen? How about if you actually took out a home equity loan and gutted the principle each month? What would happen. Eventually you would owe more than your house is worth. What if you were using those dollars you were stripping out of your home equity to support your over inflated budget – what would happen?
This is what the government has been doing to SS for the last 50 years. That lockbox Algore talked about only has only got IOUs in it.
This is how a dishonest politician keeps it off budget.
You need to read the Constitution again CapnAmerica.
Who controls the finances of the United States Government? The Judicial Branch? The Executive Branch? The Legislative Branch?
I thought Democrats were all about separation of powers.
It appears that CapnAmerica wants to impart blame on the executive office when its bad and give credit to his cronies of choice when its good.
Too bad he is incorrect once again and still.
BTW, I’m starting another job on Monday in addition to the one I already have…why? Because my house insurance, my property taxes, my fuel costs for my car, the cost of food, and the prise of natural gas has increaed to the point that what I make at one job isn’t enough to copver all my expenses anymore. I’m just thankful I’m in a profession that is in demand…I feel really bad for those who aren’t.
And God forbid I should get sick again…have you noticed the cost of health care lately? Most people can’t even afford their medicine unless they are covered by insurance that helps them pay for it.
Sorry to hear about you having to work a second job Mary.
Rules of household finances is that if your mortgage exceeds 25 percent of your net income for the month, you have spent more than you can afford. They forget things like taxes and insurance can go up, along with household maintenance, upkeep, improvements and etc.
Welcome to life in America!
At the Republic Party debate the other night, each of the potential candidates was asked “Was the War on Iraq a good idea?”
With only the exception of Ron Paul, EVERY man answered that yes, it WAS a good idea.
Ron Paul is not going to get the nomination.
Sixty seven percent of the American people think that the War on Iraq was a BAD idea.
In November, the GOP nominee, whomever it may be, is going to have to answer, over and over again, why the think it was a “good idea.”
The Bush war of choice is going to be an albatross around the neck of the Republic nominee, just as LBJ’s expansion of the War in Vietnam hung around the necks of Democrats for years.
The American people have spoke, again and again, they consider Bush to be a lousy president and they overwhelmingly think the country is headed in the wrong direction.
George could not have screwed up more if he had set out to be the Worst President Ever.
And the GOP is going to pay for that for years.
Yup, Mary.
A citizen was talking to WPE one time in a “town hall” meeting he used to hold, and she said, “I work three jobs . . . ”
Before she could go on, President Idiot pipes up, “FANTASTIC! That’s uniquely American, isn’t it. You can work three jobs.”
She just looked at him like his head was a pumpkin.
Mary what you posted has so many holes in it I don’t have time to answer the entire thing. But you need to look at tax rates for the middle class, which is where I assume you are now, both under Bush and during the Clinton era.
Inflation is always a factor and will remain so as long as the cost of manufacturing continues to go up. When salaries and the cost of goods to produce go up so will the cost of the finished product. You would have to go back to the 1970s to find inflation that is rising to fast. From a low of 1.9% in 1986 to 2.2% in 1999 we really haven’t seen runaway inflation.
The media tells us one thing but common sense tell us another. Even with the cost of high fuel cost we aren’t looking at crippling inflation. Compare your salary in 1980 with today and then compare the cost of a loaf of bread for the same dates. How do the percentages stack up?
As for the housing market. Greed created the mortgage debacle and left alone it will cure itself. Government intervention will only make it worse. It affects a very small percentage of the mortgage industry.
Grm — Soc. Sec. has NEVER been a part of the Fed Budget. I dont know what you are arguing. It has funding from a totally different source. Thats why we pay into FICA… IF Congress is taking money out of FICA funds, and putting it into the Budget, then they should be stopped from doing that. As somebody noted here the other day, Soc. Sec. has NEVER missed a payment EVER.
And, my mortgage IS a part of my household budget. Therefore, I cant exclude it from my monthly payment schedule the way you were suggesting. I pay principle and interest together… So your argument doesnt hold up!!
Mary taxes and insurance going up are more a result of our local elections and environmental events not in control by politicians such as hurricaines, tornados, floods, etc…
We need to elect the right people. That is something we can control. The local situation here is a major reason our local taxes will shoot up next year.
Insurance is something that is our of most of our control. Raw material is very pricy right now because China is buying it up in bulk. Thus the cost of rebuilding is up.
Just a few thoughts on the subject.
KsGrm writes: “Compare your salary in 1980 with today and then compare the cost of a loaf of bread for the same dates.”
That’s a fairly bogus comparison. Why? Because in 1980, I was in my EARLY years of my profession.
1st year – 5th year in my profession doesnt have nearly as high of a pay grade as 29th year!
NOW, I am at a much higher rate of pay/benefits.
However, the loaf of bread has not increased in size, or expertise during the same time frame.
Your comparison isnt valid, Grm.
Noonan said that?
In the immortal words of Colonel Hochsteder, “sometimes, from the mouths of babes and fools, comes infinite wisdom”.
Chas I forgot and did it again – Ok – just for you – take the average salary in 1980 and the average loaf of bread. See which one went up most. Simple enough. Fortunately not everyone was a babe in arms in 1980 and there were people making good salaries – for then – already.
gotta go -
Pedant
GDP is directly linked to corporate profits.
A recession is at least one quarter of negative growth in GDP.
Have we ever had a recession during a period of INCREASING corporate profits?
NO, we have not.
A Recession, then, is always accompanied by a decrease in corporate profits.
And Pendant
Democrat Governor Kathleen Sebelious, as well as every Democrat governor in the country, is on record in urging people to buy individual Long Term Care insurance.
Of course, you are an irresponsible Democrat, and you disagree with the Democrat Governors, don’t you?
Well, I’m not taking a second job (yet), but anybody else notice that food is skyrocketing in price?
I’m single and last year I spent about $75 a week at the grocery store. Today that figure is closer to $90. The culprits in my grocery list are bread, milk, fresh and dried fruits, fresh vegetables, and coffee. These have all gone up. Some things have fallen in price, notably wine. I think the produce, bread, and dairy aisles are mostly behind the price increases. I suspect this may be due to fixed agricultural resources being taken out of current production and being put to growing corn, but I can’t prove it.
I also note that I’m paying a lot more in fees, especially debit card and banking fees.
I’m not sure where Bush’s Commerce Dept gets its CPI figures — who knows with these guys? — but quick calculation tells me that inflation isn’t so tame.
ksgrm posted January 26, 2008 at 1:16 pm
“Mary taxes and insurance going up are more a result of… environmental events not in control by politicians such as hurricaines, tornados, floods, etc…”
Human-caused global warming is causing climate changes, and more severe weather events. For example, higher water vapour levels can cause more severe rain, ice, and snow storms.
The insurance industry is very concerned about AGW.
Mary
What, exactly, did Clinton do?
Name a Bill Clinton economic program?
He cut the military drastically. In hindsight, was that a good idea?
Also, the Republicans in Congress FORCED Clinton to keep his promise, on Welfare Reform.
Other than that, Clinton NEVER had a single policy initiative, that you can point to, that had anything to do with the economy.
Chas
Social Security IS part of the budget.
There is no way to take Social Security OUT of the budget.
outlander
Posted January 26, 2008 at 10:06 am | Permalink
Wonder how come the Democrats, who are in control of both Houses haven’t done anything about the national debt?
—————————————————
I’m surprised that National Debt clock isn’t running backwards now that the Democrats have been in power for over a year already.
And Steven Davis quoting history and assigning credit/blame to various administrations does nothing to solve the problem, especially when Davis doesn’t know the difference between National Debt and National Deficit.
Your lil story Davis was about the Deficits under each Administration going up or down. The National Debt continues to rise.
Get your facts straight before you try to take credit for your Democrats solving all the world’s problems again.
And if you want to play the blame game, which party controlled Congress for 40 years, increased Social spending exponentially, and SOLVED the war on poverty?
Oh, isn’t Poverty solved yet?
Hmmmm….
Socialism doesn’t work, does it?
Show me the details on one country where Socialism has worked for even a 100 year period.
Go ahead, show me.
econ101
Posted January 26, 2008 at 1:30 pm | Permalink
GDP is directly linked to corporate profits.
—
Post evidence that corporate profits are a component in GDP.
(GDP is national output. Profit ain’t anywhere in the definition.)
And by the way, I note that a guy posting as “econ101,” who purports to be a strong Bush supporter, but who can’t define either GDP or a recession accurately is pretty normal in today’s GOP.
Here’s something just for the Socialists out there:
Freedom.
What does that mean?
EVERY TIME beggers take a hand-out, they are taking away property that was EARNED by others who WORKED for it.
Freedom does NOT mean you are free to take from others.
Freedom does NOT mean you are free from having to do any work whatsover for your entire life.
Freedom means you have an OPPORTUNITY to live from the fruits of your labors. To reap what you sow. To keep the property that you make or earn for yourself. To not have your property taken from you. To be successful or not depends on how smart and how hard you WORK.
There are no guarantees in life.
Yet the Socialists think the working person is their guarantee.
Yes there is a role for government, a limited role. Yes we help those who are truly in need in order to avoid starving people to death. No that does not mean the role of government is to meet your every want and need.
For any government who sought to meet everyone’s wants and needs would have to take away freedom from all in order to redistribute from the productive to the unproductive, and the government would decide who gets what. That is NOT the role of the government of Free People.
And so now you know why Socialists do not talk about Freedom. Freedom cannot exist in a Socialist world.
The Deficit is the tick on my pet.
The Debt is my pet.
Sideways dog humor. :cool:
“The Forgotten Man”
By William Graham Sumner
http://www.blupete.com/Literature/Essays/Best/SumnerForgotten.htm
The type and formula of most schemes of philanthropy or humanitarianism is this: A and B put their heads together to decide what C shall be made to do for D. The radical vice of all these schemes, from a sociological point of view, is that C is not allowed a voice in the matter, and his position, character, and interests, as well as the ultimate effects on society through C’s interests, are entirely overlooked.
I call C the Forgotten Man.
For once let us look him up and consider his case, for the characteristic of all social doctors is, that they fix their minds on some man or group of men whose case appeals to the sympathies and the imagination, and they plan remedies addressed to the particular trouble; they do not understand that all the parts of society hold together, and that forces which are set in action act and react throughout the whole organism, until an equilibrium is produced by a re-adjustment of all interests and rights.
They therefore ignore entirely the source from which they must draw all the energy which they employ in their remedies, and they ignore all the effects on other members of society than the ones they have in view.
They are always under the dominion of the superstition of government, and, forgetting that a government produces nothing at all, they leave out of sight the first fact to be remembered in all social discussion – that the State cannot get a cent for any man without taking it from some other man, and this latter must be a man who has produced and saved it.
This latter is the Forgotten Man.
Did anyone else catch this bit of truthiness from the GOP Department of Propaganda?
“Clinton balanced the Federal budget by ‘gutting’ the military.”
And……………………..
“Clinton didn’t balance the budget, the Republican Congress did.”
Say what?
Hmmmmmmmmmmmm…………………..
That is two opposing positions.
Perhaps the Gop’ers should get together and come up with just ONE consistent story to slam Clinton with.
Eh?
Dang it Regular, now you went and explained it all to Davis in a way he might understand!
Well, did anyone else catch this bit of truthiness from the GOP Department of Propaganda?
“Clinton balanced the Federal budget by ‘gutting’ the military.”
And……………………..
“Clinton didn’t balance the budget, the Republican Congress did.”
Say what?
Hmmmmmmmmmmmm…………………..
That is two opposing positions.
Perhaps the GOP’ers should get together and come up with just ONE consistent story to slam Clinton with.
Eh?
Pedant
Tell me what happens when it is not profitable to produce?
When profits go down, PRODUCTION goes down.
Show me a company that keeps producing something that is not profitable to produce? I mean, a company that does not end up in Court, would you?
Profits decline, production declines, recession results.
#
Max
Posted January 26, 2008 at 1:46 pm | Permalink
Dang it Regular, now you went and explained it all to Davis in a way he might understand!
—————
Glad I could help out. Da Dems appear to have objection to primate analogies, so I dug one out of the canine cupboard. :cool:
And, note again, that the Democrat Party is the party of Bigotry, in America.
The Juvenile takes a shot at Mitt Romney’s religion nearly every day now.
The Democrat Senate Majority Leader, Harry Reid, is also a Mormon, but that does not seem to matter.
Black Democrats, take note, the Juvenile wants to blow up Mexicans, on the border, with land mines.
The Juvenile is a bigot towards people of faith, especially the Mormon faith.
The Juvenile claims that he won’t support Obama because he is too “nice”???
I am thinking that Obama is too “Black” for the Juvenile Bigot.
econ101
Posted January 26, 2008 at 1:48 pm | Permalink
Pedant
Tell me what happens when it is not profitable to produce?
When profits go down, PRODUCTION goes down.
Show me a company that keeps producing something that is not profitable to produce? I mean, a company that does not end up in Court, would you?
Profits decline, production declines, recession results.
—
Well, “not profitable” is negative profitability. That is NOT the same as “profits go down.”
You’re having to change definitions of profit in order to win your argument, which I note now belies your understanding of profitability.
If profits go down, companies adjust or go out of business in the long run. If profits are negative, companies go out of business in the short term.
I note that you now fudge the definitions of GDP, recessions, and profit all in an effort to prop up your continued support of the Bush administration.
Why am I not surprised? :D
“When profits go down, PRODUCTION goes down.”
Not true, profits and production do not go hand in hand.
It most certainly is possible to increase production while profits go down.
Happens all the time – it is called “market forces.”
Products are priced based on the market, not profit orientation or productivity or production.
The market determines the price.
Nice try paulie.
Nice lies too.
It shows how scared and desperate you are.
It is you who is the bigot. You advocate the continued exploitation of the Mexican people. I only want American wages and labor standards protected. I have decided that amnesty is the best way since folks like you get in the way of any other solutions.
You’ve also talked about “Black areas”. Whatever THAT might mean. You weren’t clear.
I’m an equal opportunity critic as to people of faith. So any “bigotry” is equally distributed.
I have NOT said that people of faith are deserving of more or less freedom. As Willard Romney has.
I have also explored some….unusual aspects of Willard Romney’s faith. I wonder why it is that paulthecon would rather I not do that?
Oh it’s because 44% of Americans would not vote for Romney because of his cryptic faith.
Oh it’s gonna be SO much fun watching you cons and the fit you are melting into!
Oh and I don’t support Obama because he wants to work with people like you paulthecon.
I’d rather chew broken glass than deal with you.
But mostly, I’d rather laugh as you slide into political oblivion. Shill.
Pedant
I fudge nothing.
There are many components to the economy.
The Stock Market, as Samuelson jokes, HAS predicted 9 of the last 5 recessions. (That was a few years ago.)
Anyway, why is the stock market a “leading indicator” at all? Why would the stock market have ANY predictive value?
In a nutshell, the stock market is a prediction of FUTURE corporate profits.
When the markets decline, the markets are predictiing a decline of corporate profits.
Decline in profits MIGHT mean a recession.
True, a decline and a loss are not the same thing, but it REQUIRES one, a DECLINE, to have the other, a NEGATIVE earnings report. Rather basic stuff there.
You are forcing me to “show my work” on a long equation that many of us can do in our heads.
It is cause and effect, pedant. A decline in corporate profits, after a period of substantial growth, MIGHT mean that a recession is comming.
You say that I am wrong?
Please show me how we can have a recession WITHOUT a decline in corporate profits, would you please?
And, your verbal gymnastics are a bit much, now.
My logic and explanations are very straightforward and accepted, by Keynesians and Supply-Siders, alike.
This Blog does not need us to write a 100 page thesis paper to prove our points, that would get boring, would it not?
Your name should be “pedantic” and not
“pedant” — you try to be intellectual, even boastfully so, but you fail.
Nobody with an ounce of economic background can fault what I have posted, on this thread, concerning corporate profits and recessions.
WS
Companies will not continue to expand production when profits decrease.
At the very least, when profit margins narrow, a production plateau will be reached.
GDP is based on production.
Profits determine the level of production.
Unless you are in Cuba or the old Soviet Union.
Economy hums along just nicely, everything is cool, the price of fuel skyrockets, manufacturers cut back workforces to maintain profit levels, laying off many, profits remain high for manufacturers but economy tanks into recession because consumers can no longer afford to buy.
End of story.
WS
How can “profits remain high” if “nobody can afford to buy”????
“Companies will not continue to expand production when profits decrease.”
Bullshit, Paul, I have seen it myself, many times, in the companies that I worked for.
Many times.
Profit is not the only business driver, absorption of indirect costs is also a driver.
The profit may be ZERO, but the company will continue to increase production to absorb costs already invested.
Happens all the time.
“How can “profits remain high” if “nobody can afford to buy”????”
Easy.
“Well WD, I haven’t had your apparent epiphany experience”
And Outlander I in retrospect wished I had not, “ignorance is bliss” and I was so the unknowing happy fool.
Lots of Evangelical and Fundamentalist Christians support Romney:
http://blogs.wsj.com/washwire/2007/10/15/bob-jones-dean-endorses-romney/?mod=blogs
Is the public comfortable with a Woman as President?
Is the public comfortable with a Black Man as President?
is the Public comfortable with a Mormon as President?
I think the country can handle any of the above.
Also, I think an opinion poll asking if Romneys Mormon Faith MIGHT be an obstacle, is not the same as a Poll that asks, directly, “Would you ever vote for a Mormon” do you?
How about an opinion poll that asks, “Will gender be an obstacle to Hillary Clinton becomming President”?
How about an opinion poll that asks, “Will Race become an obstacle to Barack Obama becomming President”?
(Actually, it seems that the Democrats have their share of bigots, on the Obama queston. That is what the Clintons are banking on, a “White Backlash” after South Carolina)
WS
Bull!
Now, of course, there are start up costs, on any new product.
Boeing, for instance, does not make a
“profit” up front. If a commpany does not believe that a product line will be profitable, that product line will be dropped.
Yes, there is risk in business. If a product line is not profitable, but is PROJECTED to be profitable, in the future, that is a risk that the company must evaluate.
However, any company that continues to produce a product or service that is not profitable, and that they believe will NEVER be profitable, should be taken to court by the shareholders.
That is a gross violation of ethical conduct.
We are, of course, speaking in broad generalities here.
A new advertising campaign, a tweek here in there in the product features, sure, that might work.
However, overall, if all SUV’s from all manufacturers, see a decline in sales, and therefore, a decline in profits, PRODUCTION of light trucks declines.
If Ford does sell and GM does poorly? GM tweeks their products and advertising.
When they all do poorly?
They all CUT production because profits have declined!
Yes, market forces come into play.
If consumption goes down, there are extra SUV’s on the lot.
Supply and demand.
Price goes down.
When price goes down, PROFIT goes down.
DUH!
“nobody can afford to buy”
And you quoted me as saying the above – I said “consumers.”
Don’t start with your usual tactics of distortions.
What I was saying in my posts was that there are many factors that influence profit, production and productivity.
You are trying to paint a black and white picture.
It ain’t so.
I suppose it’s nice for someone that the GDP has increased so effing much under Bushllit, but it doesn’t mean diddley to the average Americans who have seen their average household income steadily fall and prices skyrocket over the last seven years.
eco101: I think you will find the GDP is the sum and total of goods produced AND services rendered. Marx/Engles though that production alone, therefore labor, was of merit and the reason for the “distatorship of the proletariat” ie, ditch diggers got the same income as a doctor, etc. etc. Companies will expand if NET profit increases even though gross margins dimish per unit, for without this precept there is no economies of scale in reduction of unit price by washing more volume through a fixed overhead.
“When price goes down, PROFIT goes down.”
And you have NEVER heard of a company slashing indirect costs to improve profitability to offset lower prices?
Eh?
And………….
“and that they believe will NEVER be profitable”
I never said nor implied that, ever.
Don’t attribute statements to me that I did not make.
And……….
“They all CUT production because profits have declined!”
That is not universally accurate. If production is increased, indirect costs will be amortized over a greater number, hence the possibility of reaching a profit level.
Like I said, it’s not all black and white.
By the way, Paul, I worked in manufacturing management for thirty years – I have an idea about what I am discussing.
And you? You sell insurance.
It’s not all black and white.
“And, note again, that the Democrat Party is the party of Bigotry, in America”
Posted by econ.
Really? Seems to me MLK was a Democrat. Guess he was a bigot. Hillary as well. How about FDR? Opps, another one. Yep, you’re correct again; all Democrats are bigots.
Now the Republicans don’t have any bigots, do they. Surely not Rush, or Coulter. Bigoted words would never leave their mouths. Nor would they pass Gulianni’s lips—wink, wink.
The thing is, econ, all parties have their resident bigots, and probably always will. It’s actually knowing who they are, and ignoring them that matters. Which means I should be ignoring you:-)
Company A – They must have X number of people in their purchasing, management, human resources, engineering, accounting and production control departments – all indirect expenses.
The cost of those departments are “X.”
The prices of their manufactured product is dropping due to market forces.
They increase their production, lower their prices below that of the competition, spread their indirect costs over a greater number of products produced and achieved a profitable position.
Prices went down, profits went up.
End of story.
It is not black and white – there are no universal absolutes – the accounting varies company by company, industry by industry, day by day.
Max: What is a socialist anyway? Do you mean communists only or any govement intervention in the free marketplace , or how much intervention is allowed before that society becomes socalist? Are past and current bail-outs of the finance sectors socialists, or propping up private enterprisers with special tax break benefits not avaiable to the average citizen, socialist? Or is socialism just a boogeyman word folks like to throw around like Commie, or unpatriotic or liberal?
WS
You were in management?
Yah, and did YOU, personally, ever decide what the production line would produce, in the next quarter?
Or did you just do what you were told?
The duty to hire and fire machinists is not exactly the same as figuring out the “unit cost” of production, or the “peak efficiency” or output, of a particular prodution line.
I am guessing that someone did that FOR you, and you just took orders.
ksgrm
Posted January 26, 2008 at 1:29 pm | Permalink
Chas I forgot and did it again – Ok – just for you – take the average salary in 1980 and the average loaf of bread. See which one went up most. Simple enough. Fortunately not everyone was a babe in arms in 1980 and there were people making good salaries – for then – already.
gotta go -
===================================
Now, let’s see here — Now you want to take the AVERAGE salary from 1980… Thats totally different that what you ORIGINALLY spewed forth… same with bread… Please Note Carefully >>>
“Compare your salary in 1980 with today and then compare the cost of a loaf of bread for the same dates.”
NOW — When are you going to stop bashing ME, and stay on point, you cantankerous zit… Hmmmm??? I get tired of your constant spinning stuff into what was NOT said, and then answering a question that was not proffered… GET IT, WENCH???
My initial response to YOU was spot on… So what do YOU do, Grannie??? YOU change the parameters… And then YOU claim victory, and YOU “gotta run” right!!! WENCH!!
Sursam
OF COURSE I am oversimplyfying the equation. Of course there are many variables.
However, my ORIGINAL point is that a decrease in corporate profits was REQUIRED for a recession to take place.
That is absolutely, positively correct.
WS, pedandtic, and others are trying to claim that you can have a recession without a reduction in corporate profits.
JM
My point, which you seem to miss, is that the Juvenile, who posts here, is a BIGOT!
He has made that clear, several times.
Oh, and do you really ignore bigots?
How about KKK Robert Byrd, the Democrat Senator?
Right Econ… now plug the variables into your equation, and wow, it doesnt work!! Amazing… how would I have guessed that!!
You forgot the variables, Econ… Cant be doing that, geeenyyus…
“Yah, and did YOU, personally, ever decide what the production line would produce, in the next quarter?
Or did you just do what you were told?”
All the time, Paul, all the time.
In fact, deciding what was to be produced and how many was one of my PRIMARY duties throughout my career. And not only was I required to determine those numbers, I usually had to determine those numbers over the next YEAR, not just the next quarter.
And, indirectly, I also determined the level of indirect personnel. And, yes, I was part of the actual determination of indirect staffing requirement conversations. I usually did not have final authority to make those decisions, but my projections had a great impact on those that did – sometimes to their distress.
So, piss on you, Rossell, you don’t know a god damned thing.
But please feel free to try again.
Chas
My point, once again, is that a recession ALWAYS means that corporate profits have gone down.
ALWAYS
That is how we got on this economic debate, in the first place.
Of course there are many, many decisions that go into production of any product.
PROFIT is always the primary goal.
When projected profits can’t be made to work, production declines, GDP follows, if all companies cut back production.
Recessions ALWAYS happen as corporate profits decline.
Again, since Democrats seem to hate corporate profits, why do Democrats not like recessions?
Could it all be rhetoric, perhaps?
Do Democrats understand that corporate profits generate huge amounts of tax revenue?
However, you have to play your “class envy card” and attack corporate profits, when profits are high. Then, you attack Republicans, when profits decline (recession fears are up)?
Either way, you have a boogey man to attack, huh?
WS
You did not have the authority.
Thanks for your honesty, on that point.
Projections of cost, that you made, were given to your superiors, who decided how much to FUND your department, based on profit/loss and cost/benefit (PROFIT PROJECTION0 criteria for the entire company.
You still arent adding in the variables… Thus, you still dont have a working hypothesis!
The Republicans could have done better with Brittney Spears running things. With all her problems I believe she could at least pronounce the names of the countries she intended to invade.
“You did not have the authority.”
You are so full of shit, Rossell, and you lack in the capacity to read and comprehend.
“Projections of cost, that you made, were given to your superiors, who decided how much to FUND your department, based on profit/loss and cost/benefit (PROFIT PROJECTION0 criteria for the entire company.”
Complete bullshit, Rossell. Profit figures are built from the ground UP in manufacturing, not the other way around.
The projections of what is to be built and how many is the DRIVING criteria that determines those calculations.
Just because I did NOT directly determine indirect staffing, does not mean that the staffing was NOT determined based on my projections.
In most companies, there is a direct ratio formula to determine indirect staffing – those calculations are based on projections, such as the ones I was required to make.
“who decided how much to FUND your department”
My departments, purchasing, scheduling, shipping and receiving, warehousing, forecasting, etc, were part of the indirect staffing equation.
I determined what was to be made and how many.
A manufacturing company’s fiscal budget is built from the projections of sales – and that was just a part of my duties.
Grow a brain, Rossell, and join the reality based world.
A recession is defined as a period in which the GDP declines for a period of time. It has nothing to do with corporate profits. Many companies have higher profits during GDP declines.
If you’re going to call yourself econ 101, you should at least pass the course.
–Econ 303; the graduate course.
Econ 101, you are right, some of us do want a recession. That way people will realize your can’t build an economy off the profits of oil from an expensive war in the middle east and they will get rid of the idiots who have convince so many people we need rich people to guide us and wars to protect our “freedom” (to drive our oversized vehicles).
Apparently, Rossell, has had to slink away with his tail between his legs…………………..
“My point, once again, is that a recession ALWAYS means that corporate profits have gone down.
“ALWAYS”
ROTFL!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Such a statement wouldn’t get a passing grade in Econ 101!!
Chas.
Posted January 26, 2008 at 3:14 pm | Permalink
My initial response to YOU was spot on… So what do YOU do, Grannie??? YOU change the parameters… And then YOU claim victory, and YOU “gotta run” right!!! WENCH!!
Chas sorry I had to go away during your rant. Just to clear the record my post was for Mary and addressed that way. I know Mary was working in 1980 she has stated that before. You seem to want to put yourself in every conversation on the board so go for it. But don’t blame me when you make yourself look life a fool.
Name calling isn’t for the intelligent. It shows a very limited vocabulary.
WS and Econ you had a very interesting dialogue while I was gone.
If a company is manufacturing 50 widgets a day on an assembly line that is capable of manufacturing 100 widgets a day then increasing the production would also increase the cost of the raw materials needed for the widgets, increased utilities needed to run the machines, increased personell to run the machines. Maybe no new management would be needed so the cost of product wouldn’t be affected by this.
Now the expense for the machinary would be the same percentage that was used for the original 50 which would be a little lower because it would be divided by 100 instead of 50 as well as accrued expenses for the depreciation on the machinery.
Moving these expenses to overhead would not be usefull because it would be an inaccurate picture of where production dollars are going. No stock holder would sit still and watch overhead go from 18% to 25% for instance in order not to spread the expense into production costs.
Therefore corporate profits wouldn’t go up or down by a measurable difference unless you dropped the price of the widget in order to sell more or if you were able to raise the price because the demand is high.
What will make the difference is when people guit buying because the economy is bad or if you glut the market and there is no longer a demand for the product. In either case personell will be laid off and the buying power of the employee will erode. Hence the start of the recession.
That is why there are markers that tell you exactly when a recession starts. Three quarters that contain these markers tell you we are in a recession. High unemployment is one of these. We have low unemployment and in fact the last 3 weeks have seen a decrease in the number of new applicants. This says we are not in a recessionary period yet.
The shill who calls himself econ is demonstrably a bigot. Proof?
Is the public comfortable with a Woman as President?
Is the public comfortable with a Black Man as President?
is the Public comfortable with a Mormon as President?
Why capitalize “woman” and “black man”?
Is he accidentally letting out that he finds a woman or a black man something that NEEDS called out with capital letters? I think so.
Or maybe he’s just a lousy writer?
KNOW so.
It is not bigotry to post facts. IF those facts are uncomfortable, perhaps the bigotry is in the person offended by the truth.
Or afraid of it.
We’re talking economy right? That and other things bush has ruined?
Well if you want more of the same as what we got then Willard Romney is your man!
He made his fortune moving money from the bottom to the top. The top in his case being him.
Like paulthecon and his ilk, Romney doesn’t see Americans. He sees human resources. Willard EMPLOYED illegal aliens. Who I guess he would call “motivated workers” or some such other lingual nicety.
And yes I will mention his faith. In recent primaries, 90% of Mormon voters chose him.
Now Senator Clinton is not pulling 90% of the female vote. And I don’t think Barack Obama has that same percentage of the black vote nailed down either.
So what is up with almost unanimous acclaim for Romney just on the basis of shared faith among Mormon voters?
Again the liberal newspaper, the Wichita Eagle can sure raise the hackles from all of us. Why do you think they post excerpts from stories about either party. I think the Eagle will try to get the Republicans goat every chance they get. Go my man Mitt
Bush didn’t do this alone. The leadership of the Republican Party has little interest in limited government or fiscal restraint. They represent the average party member about as well as the Democrat leadership represents their party.
Is there really a difference at the national level between a Republican and a Democrat?
Yes, a huge difference, ProudMan.
A Democratic Leader of the Senate Intelligence Committee wouldn’t have kissed Bush’s ass and stonewalled any real findings.
He would have if it was politically favorable.
“Therefore corporate profits wouldn’t go up or down by a measurable differenc”
Bullshit – if the overhead, indirect costs are absorbed at a higher rate, costs go down and profit goes up.
Basic.
If a purchasing agent writes a PO for 10,000 widgets, it costs the same as if he wrote a PO for 1,000 widgets.
His expense, is spread over a larger volume if he writes the PO for 10,000.
Multiply that by all of the indirect employees.
End of story.
By the way, materials are usually 70% plus of the cost of a manufactured item.
Utilities are a fractional cost.
Labor is normally 10 – 20 percent.
Indirect costs are spread over the entire cost of production.
You cannot hire 10% of a Purchasing Agent – they tend to get unhappy if you propose cutting them up into little pieces.
I worked manufacturing for 35 years – I know a bit about what I am talking about.
ksgm: Buying more, the unit cost of material would go down. You can’t move direct costs, that is direct material or direct labor into overhead, that is a differnt line entry. Admin., management, sales etc., would remain constant thus increasing ROI by the increase in production washed through a fixed overhead in the plant. Land taxes won’t go up, non productivity costs and all plant indirect overhead will remain consant thus increasing your gross margins or reducing your cost of goods sold. Then of course you get into creative bookkeeping which now has prostitued the capitalist free market system. Think Enron. I used to think I could read a balance sheet or a Profit and Loss statement, but to-day it seldom reflects what the hell is really happening. Everything is couched in terms of share value, not productivity, which is why the economy is moving off shore in the first place. Remeber those 50-100 widget makers? Well they are now making 200 widgets thanks to 2nd generation equipment located overseas with the help of the Feds, believe it or not.
OK KsGrm — So YOU can jump in the middle of a conversation, but I CANT?? WENCH!! Thats not name calling… Thats just FACT!!
I was also working in 1980 — Mary isnt that much older or younger than me to make any real difference… You STILL Changed the parameters when I proved you to be silly!!
So, live with it!! It’s a public blog – Geez!!
Take a pill, and CHILL… WENCH!!
In 1980 I was raising kids and wasn’t working outside the home and we were surviving on one income. Today I’m working two jobs and so is my husband, plus we have income from rental properties…I don’t believe wages have kept up with the cost of living by any means. There is no way we could make it on just one average income today, most families can’t. You can throw out all the numbers and figures you want, Ksgrm and others…but I can’t see that the average American is better off today than we were 20 yrs ago, many families are struggling just to put food on the table, put gas in their car, and pay their utilities.
It’s always smart to read the original article when the Eagle editorial writers cite something on this blog, because their comments are frequently distorted. Noonan’s comments about Bush come in the 19th paragraph of a piece that is mainly about how despicable Bill Clinton is. But of course Brownlee, in typical journalistic fashion, took everything out of context and didn’t even mention the main points of Noonan’s article in his eagerness to make his own political points.
Mary Caruso wrote:
“You can throw out all the numbers and figures you want, Ksgrm and others…but I can’t see that the average American is better off today than we were 20 yrs ago, many families are struggling just to put food on the table, put gas in their car, and pay their utilities.”
She is correct, and I lay it all at this “bipartisian dysfunction disorder”. Both the Clinton and the Bush administrations sold out the country from free trade to letting there be a free for all across our southern border for cheap labor.
Our “economy” of the past 20 years has been about “growth and progress” based on the amount of strip malls, retail outlets, resturaunts, and suburbs that can be build. No investment on production within the United States, only companies tied to Chinese production or South American Production. Our infrastructure is only added to or improved for strip malls and retail outlets.
We are a “retail consumer” economy, and that has NOTHING to do with what party one belongs to, it has to do with local business and state leaders going for the “easy growth”. THe hared growth is building manufacturing or productino facilities.
That is where we are losing.
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