20-point lead hard to discount

The campaign of GOP gubernatorial candidate Jim Barnett has reason to question whether Survey USA’s September poll numbers on the race are a good predictor of November’s election results. In a similar automated phone poll in September 2002, the same firm showed then-candidate Kathleen Sebelius at 55 percent to GOP candidate Tim Shallenburger’s 38 percent. In the end, Sebelius beat Shallenburger by 8 percentage points. This time, Survey USA’s poll, for KWCH Channel 12 Eyewitness News and The Wichita Eagle, has Sebelius at 58 percent and Barnett at 38 percent. Still, inflated or not, a 20-point lead is hard to discount. If Barnett has an October surprise, he’d better get it wrapped and ready.
Posted by Rhonda Holman