Monthly Archives: October 2008

Snowfall forecast climbs for northwest Kansas

Forecasters have increased the minimum expected snowfall in northwest Kansas from the first major snow storm of the winter to 5 inches for cities such as Goodland, Colby and St. Francis. Eleven Kansas counties are included in a blizzard warning from 7 p.m. CDT Wednesday to 7 p.m. Thursday.

Up to a foot of snow is expected east of K-25, which puts the bullseye on cities such as Hoxie, Norton, Hill City and Oberlin. Winds gusting beyond 40 miles an hour will create whiteout conditions at times. Visibility is not expected to increase beyond a quarter-mile during the storm, and authorities warn that travel will be difficult to impossible.

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Blizzard warning for northwest Kansas tonight

The National Weather Service in Goodland has issued a blizzard warning for 11 counties in the northwest corner of Kansas tonight.

Whiteout conditions are expected as a storm moves out of the Rockies into the Great Plains. Travel will be difficult to impossible as visibility drops to zero. Winds could reach 60 miles an hour in the storm, whipping the falling snow into a frenzy.

Snowfall forecasts range from as little as 3 inches in the Goodland area to a foot in and around Hill City by the time the storm ends Thursday night.

Snow is expected to fall as far south and east as central Kansas tonight and tomorrow, forecasters say, but no accumulation is expected there.

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Warm weather’s last hurrah?

The National Weather Service is warning that strong thunderstorms are possible in central Kansas later this evening, with hail the size of nickels and winds of up to 50 miles an hour.

One last garden-variety thunderstorm before cold weather settles in for the duration?

Wichita’s in for its coldest weather of the season later this week. Folks who have put off firing up the furnace may not be able to hold out much longer. Lows will be dipping into the 30s by Wednesday night and will linger there into the weekend.

Let’s hope that rainfall record is written in pencil

50.72 inches.

That’s the record for most rain in one year in Wichita – set this year – and it’s about to climb. Rain is expected in the city over the next few days.

National Weather Service meteorologist Kevin Darmofal said Wichita could get a half-inch or more by the time skies clear on Thursday.

“We’ll just keep adding” to the record, he said.

One rainy spell can produce vastly different outcomes

On my way out to the family farm this week, I saw first-hand how a couple days of rain can have a wide-ranging impact on the fortunes of those who grow crops for a living.

The hearty soaking was a blessing for farmers who only recently planted their winter wheat. But many fields where the wheat had already sprouted had vast ponds where the rainwater pooled…and by the time the water evaporates that wheat may well be drowned out.

Farmers who have already been able to harvest their corn and soybeans have to be delighted with the rain this week, even as neighbors whose crops weren’t quite ready for the combine now must wait for the fields to dry – a wait that could well reduce yields and ultimately profits.

One field of soybeans looked especially forlorn, the brittle brown stalks loaded with beans but the ground far too soft for heavy equipment. I wondered what would be salvagable by the time harvesters arrived.

It reminded me of something I heard from my father and other farmers countless times over the years: you can do everything right for a crop, but you’re still at the mercy of the weather.

Tornadoes in 2008 highlighted in “Storm Chasers” series…

……that returns Sunday on The Discovery Channel. The first episode airs at 9 p.m. Central Daylight Time, and continues for seven more weeks.

“A lot of blood, sweat and tears went into this show,” Byron Turk, who was the navigator for a Tornado Intercept Vehicle, or TIV, said in an e-mail. “Lots of miles traveled, horrible gas station lunches, and deadly weather. It was a blast to say the least.”

It was an active tornado season in Kansas, and at least two episodes in the series feature story lines in the state: The Nov. 2 episode includes a return to Greensburg on the first anniversary of the tornado that virtually destroyed the Kiowa County town, and the Nov. 23 episode follows the chasers as they pursue tornadoes in western Kansas.

Echoes from a nightmare

When I was catching up with Donna Sue Smithhisler earlier this year, four years after a tornado decimated the family home in rural Harper County, she told me she and her husband, Dan, were doing well.

“We’re just fine,” she assured me. But then she confessed, “It’s spring again, and it’s freaking me out.”

During tornado season, she said, she leaves nothing to chance.

“I don’t even leave town if there’s a cloud in the sky. I have to stick close to home. And if the wind comes up…my, my.”

I understand her reaction completely. It’s how I felt for years after a tornado struck our family farm when I was 4. Cloudy skies sent shivers down my spine. I was ready to run to the basement at a moment’s notice.

Less than a month after the massive tornado struck Haysville, Wichita, McConnell Air Force Base and Andover on April 26, 1991, I was sent to Andover to talk to folks about their reaction as another tornado following almost exactly the same track was reported in Sedgwick County. It wasn’t easy to find people to interview, because they had dashed to their basements – and stayed there even though the tornado dissipated long before it reached the Butler County town.

Over time, I talked to countless tornado survivors who told me the first thing they wanted to make sure their new home had was a basement. Time has hopefully softened their reactions from fear to awareness of the need to always be prepared.

It’s an integral part of the journey toward healing that survivors of the Greensburg tornado are now making…and one to which residents of Chapman, Soldier and Manhattan will be introduced next spring, when the combination of warm weather, cloudy skies and a brisk Kansas wind will awaken memories they’d just as soon let sleep.

When a date is engraved by disaster

Last spring, while I was talking to Donna Sue Smithhisler about how she was doing in the years since a massive tornado obliterated her dream home in rural Harper County, she confessed something to me.

She can’t write “May 12″ on a check without adding “2004″ to it.

That’s the day the tornado struck, moving so slowly over the Smithhisler homestead that it seemed to stop and churn in place on top of the house while Donna Sue and her husband, Dan, cowered in the basement. They were battered and bruised by debris, but managed to crawl out alive.

Ever since then, she said, “May 12 does mean that date,” and nothing else.

Ask any longtime resident of Udall what May 25 means to them, and they’ll instantly flash back to the tornado that wiped out the town on that night in 1955.

I’ve heard Oklahoma City residents refer to the monstrous tornado that struck in 1999 as, simply, “May 3rd.”

Say “April 26″ to any local meteorologist, and chances are pretty good they’ll flash back to the tornado that hit Haysville, Wichita and Andover on that date in 1991. Ironically, if you say that to a resident of Andover, chances are you’ll get a blank look.

So many new people have moved to that Wichita suburb in the last 15 years, city officials have told me, that “April 26″ doesn’t hold special significance for them. The same is true for many of Udall’s current residents.

In some ways, that’s good. It helps a community heal and move forward. But it’s a mistake to discard the past. When that happens, people fail to properly acknowledge the loss, the suffering, the changes such events bring.

Just as importantly, they can lose sight of the spirit, strength and courage it took to recover. After all, those are the qualities that ultimately define a community, moreso than a few historic buildings or the disaster that engraves itself in the collective memory.

Kansas well-represented in new book about weather

Chuck Potter, the Eagle’s book editor, dropped a coffee table book by a few weeks ago for me to peruse. It’s called “Weather: The Ultimate Book of Meteorological Events,” from Accord Publishing.

I found myself surprised at how often photos featured in the book were taken in Kansas. I shouldn’t have been, given how dramatic the weather often is in the Sunflower State.

Among the shots taken in Kansas are a dramatic supercell thunderstorm near Medicine Lodge, an aerial photo of a tornado that touched down northwest of Colby, and tornadoes that formed not far from Pretty Prairie, Attica and Mulvane.

Look for the coffee table book at a bookstore near you.

Another Pacific hurricane sets its sights on Kansas

Hurricane Norbert’s about to come ashore from the Pacific, and it’ll start moseying its way toward the Midwest this weekend. Depending on how soon it arrives, large portions of Kansas could be walloped by heavy rains.

Forecast models suggest the heaviest rains will fall in southwest and central Kansas, but Wichita’s likely to get plenty wet as well. Residents should pay close attention to forecasts this weekend, because the timetable is uncertain. Forecasts keep slowing down when the rain will arrive in the Great Plains.