Goddard infielder Logan Watkins signed with the Cubs on Friday night at Schofield Honda on East Kellogg, where his father works. Lots of family and friends showed up for the big moment. His dad, Brian, brought the requisite Cub hats.
A Cubs scout led Logan through the paperwork - full insurance coverage, room and board for $9 a day in Mesa, Ariz. (some guys get their own places but the scout advised Logan to take advantage of the cheap rates) and bonuses for working his way up the Cubs system. He needs to look neat (no earrings) and well-dressed (no sandles) when he shows up for his first day of work.
Pretty exciting for an athlete and his family. The offer of a $500,000 bonus and college money is hard to turn down. Watkins said it was a tough decision. He couldn’t pass up the money, despite his strong feelings for Wichita State.
“The odds of getting it again in three years are pretty slim,” he said. “(Going to WSU) puts a lot of pressure on me to stay healthy and make sure I maintain the way I play. Having a bad junior year could ultimately affect the outcome of everything. Just jumping on this opportunity while I have it is something I had to do.”
That’s the pro side of the discussion and many people would agree. The Cubs no doubt hammered those points home and told Watkins that if he wants to be a baseball player, it is time to get started. Legitimate points, aided by a bonus that, if managed properly, can be a help down the road. From a pro standpoint, the minor leagues are the best place for a ballplayer to learn how to be a ballplayer. Going to college and swinging aluminum bats against weaker competition slows development.
The college argument is also convincing. Three years of college can pay off in many ways, athletically and otherwise. WSU coach Gene Stephenson maintains perhaps five or six high school kids (Chipper Jones types) are ready for pro ball each year. The rest are better off in college. His best argument is that a player gets one chance at professional baseball, and he needs to be prepared to give that his best shot. Stephenson (acting also in his own best interest) believes three or four years of college does that, mentally and physically.
Moneyball adherents would agree. Others would not. That would be the tough thing for parents about this decision - how ready is an 18-year-old for long bus rides, homesickness, baseball as a business and coping with failure far away from family and friends? If his baseball career ends in Double A in five years, how likely is he to go to college? It gets tougher if a player is 25 and trying to support a family. One rule of thumb that says a player needs at least $600,000 to make passing up college worthwhile. After taxes, that bonus can slip away quickly.
Anecdotally, it seems like most of the WSU signees in recent seasons who signed professionally out of high school were not ready to hit the jackpot in the major leagues. Pitcher Kendall Bergdall, drafted the same spring as Mike Pelfrey, is out of baseball. Seattle picked him in the fifth round in 2002. Pete Blake, Juan Piniella, Shannon Carter… The jury is still out on recent players such as Derek Norris and Evan Anundsen. I put infielders Jon Gilmore and Pete Kozma (from last season) in a different class. Even WSU coaches don’t argue with first-round picks signing.
On the flip side, the Shockers aren’t exactly cranking out major-league position players in recent years. Coming to WSU can help a player move up the draft board, but it isn’t the fast lane to the Show.
The decimated 1993 recruiting class deserves its own section. OF Larry Smith (11th round, Royals), P Dan Smith (sixth, Rangers), P Benji Sampson (sixth, Twins) and OF Craig McClure (sixth, White Sox) all abandoned WSU for the minors. Sampson and Dan Smith pitched in the majors. Larry Smith never passed Rookie ball. McClure stalled in Class A.
Watkins will try to beat the odds and make it to the majors. It’s a longshot, regardless of the starting point. The important thing for him is not to wonder. He is now a Cub.