If Wichita State gets in, it will be a surprise to the people who do the bracket projections.
As with any sport, all the teams in the last group at at-large candidates are weighed down by negative baggage. WSU will hope people on the selection committee use the RPI or strength of schedule as a tie-breaker. Every team in that predicament will look back on the season and find two or three close losses that might have made a difference.
It will be particularly interesting if the Southland Conference, ranked No. 14, is powerful enough to generate three teams, the same as the fifth-ranked MVC.
Upsets in conference tournaments will also play a large role. It appears Creighton in the MVC, Missouri in the Big 12 and Texas-Arlington in the Southland may be the ones to cost WSU (and other schools in that group) an at-large bid.